Acknowledgement
본 연구는 환경부의 재원으로 2021년도 한국수자원공사의 '가뭄 시 환경적 영향을 고려하기 위한 분석체계 구축' 용역 사업의 지원을 받아 수행되었음.
References
- AghaKouchak, A., Farahmand, A., Melton, F.S., Teixeira, J., Anderson, M.C., Wardlow, B.D., and Hain, C.R. (2015). "Remote sensing of drought: Progress, challenges and opportunities." Reviews of Geophysics, Vol. 53, No. 2, pp. 452-480. doi: 10.1002/2014RG000456
- Allen, R.G., Periera, L.S., Raes, D., and Smith, M. (1998). Crop evapotranspiration: Guidelines for computing crop requirements. FAO Irrigation and Drainage Paper 56, FAO, Rome, Italia.
- Asner, G.P., and Alencar, A. (2010). "Drought impacts on the Amazon forest: the remote sensing perspective." New Phytologist, Vol. 187, No. 3, pp. 569-578. doi: 10.1111/j.1469-8137.2010.03310.x
- Bardossy, A., and Pegram, G.G.S. (2009). "Copula based multisite model for daily precipitation simulation." Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, Vol. 13, No. 12, pp. 2299-2314. doi: 10.5194/hess-13-2299-2009
- Chang, Y.Y., Kim, S.D., and Choi, G.W. (2006). "A study of drought spatio-temporal characteristics using SPI-EOF analysis." Journal of Korea Water Resources Association, Vol. 39, No. 8, pp. 691-702. doi: 10.3741/JKWRA.2006.39.8.691 (in Korean)
- Cong, N., Wang, T., Nan, H., Ma, Y., Wang, X., Myneni, R.B., and Piao, S. (2013). "Changes in satellite derived spring vegetation green up date and its linkage to climate in China from 1982 to 2010: A multimethod analysis." Global Change Biology, Vol. 19, No. 3, pp. 881-891. doi: 10.1111/gcb.12077
- de Jong, R., Verbesselt, J., Schaepman, M.E., and De Bruin, S. (2012). "Trend changes in global greening and browning: Contribution of short term trends to longer term change." Global Change Biology, Vol. 18, No. 2, pp. 642-655. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2011.02578.x
- Duan, Z., and Bastiaanssen, W.G.M. (2013). "First results from Version 7 TRMM 3B43 precipitation product in combination with a new downscaling - calibration procedure." Remote Sensing of Environment, Vol. 131, pp. 1-13. doi: 10.1016/j.rse.2012.12.002
- Friedlingstein, P., Cox, P., Betts, R., Bopp, L., von Bloh, W., Brovkin, V., Cadule, P., Doney, S., Eby, M., Fung, I., Bala, G., Jonh, J., Jones, C., Joos, F., Kato, T., Kawamiya, M., Knorr, W., Lindsay, K., Mattews, H.D., Raddatz, T., Rayner, P., Reick, C., Roeckner, E., Schnitzler, K.-G., Schnur, R., Strassmann, K., Weaver, A.J., Yoshikawa, C., and Zeng, N. (2006). "Climate-carbon cycle feedback analysis: Results from the C4MIP model intercomparison." Journal of Climate, Vol. 19, No. 14, pp. 3337-3353. doi: 10.1175/JCLI3800.1
- Ghaleb, F., Mario, M., and Sandra, A.N. (2015). "Regional landsatbased drought monitoring from 1982 to 2014." Climate, Vol. 3, No. 3, pp. 563-577. doi: 10.3390/cli3030563
- Heumann, B.W. (2011). "Satellite remote sensing of mangrove forests: Recent advances and future opportunities." Progress in Physical Geography, Vol. 35, No. 1, pp. 87-108. doi: 10.177/0309133310385371
- Hobbins, M.T., Wood, A., McEvoy, D.J., Huntington, J.L., Morton, C., Anderson, M., and Hain, C. (2016). "The evaporative demand drought index. Part I: Linking drought evolution to variations in evaporative demand." Journal of Hydrometeorology, Vol. 17, No. 6, pp. 1745-1761. doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-15-0121.1
- Ichii, K., Kawabata, A., and Yamaguchi, Y. (2002). "Global correlation analysis for NDVI and climatic variables and NDVI trends: 1982-1990." International Journal of Remote Sensing, Vol. 23, No. 18, pp. 3873-3878. doi: 10.1080/01431160110119416
- Ji, L., and Peters, A.J. (2003). "Assessing vegetation response to drought in the northern Great Plains using vegetation and drought indices." Remote Sensing of Environment, Vol. 87, No. 1, pp. 85-98. doi: 10.1016/S0034-4257(03)00174-3
- Kim, S., Kim, B., Ahn, T.J., and Kim, H.S. (2011). "Spatio temporal characterization of Korean drought using severity-area-duration curve analysis." Water and Environment Journal, Vol. 25, No. 1, pp. 22-30. doi: 10.1111/j.1747-6593.2009.00184.x
- Kim, S.D., Ryu, J.S., Oh, K.R., and Jeong, S.M. (2012). "An application of copulas-based joint drought index for determining comprehensive drought conditions." Journal of Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation, Vol. 12, No. 1, pp. 223-230. doi: 10.9798/KOSHAM.2012.12.1.223 (in Korean)
- Knapp, A.K., and Smith, M.D. (2001). "Variation among biomes in temporal dynamics of aboveground primary production." Science, Vol. 291, No. 5503, pp. 481-484. doi: 10.1126/science.291.5503.481
- Kogan, F.N. (1997). "Global drought watch from space." Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 78, No. 4, pp. 621-636. doi: 10.1175/1520-0477(1997)078<0621:GDWFS>2.0.CO;2
- Laux, P., Vogl, S., Qiu, W., Knoche, H.R., and Kunstmann, H. (2011). "Copula-based statistical refinement of precipitation in RCM simulations over complex terrain." Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, Vol. 15, No. 7, pp. 2401-2419. doi: 10.5194/hess-15-2401-2011
- Levesque, M., Saurer, M., Siegwolf, R., Eilmann, B., Brang, P., Bugmann, H., and Rigling, A. (2013). "Drought response of five conifer species under contrasting water availability suggests high vulnerability of Norway spruce and European larch." Global Change Biology, Vol. 19, No. 10, pp. 3184-3199. doi: 10.1111/gcb.12268
- Li, B.G., Tao, S., and Dawson, R.W. (2002). "Relations between AVHRR NDVI and ecoclimatic parameters in China." International Journal of Remote Sensing, Vol. 23, No. 5, pp. 989-999. doi: 10.1080/014311602753474192
- Liu, Z., Li, C., Zhou, P., Chen, X. (2016). A probabilistic assessment of the likelihood of vegetation drought under varying climate conditions across China. Scientific reports, Vol. 6, No. 1, pp. 1-10. doi: 10.1038/srep35105
- McKee, T.B., Doesken, N.J., and Kleist, J. (1993). "The relationship of drought frequency and duration to time scales." Proceedings of the 8th Conference on Applied Climatology, AMS, Anaheim, CA, U.S.,Vol. 17, No. 22, pp. 179-183.
- Mittelbach, G.G., Steiner, C.F., Scheiner, S.M., Gross, K.L., Reynolds, H.L., Waide, R.B., Willig, M.R., Dodson, S.I., and Gough, L. (2001). "What is the observed relationship between species richness and productivity?" Ecology, Vol. 82, No. 9, pp. 2381-2396. doi: 10.1890/0012-9658(2001)082[2381:WITORB]2.0.CO;2
- Orimoloye, I.R., Ololade, O.O., Mazinyo, S.P., Kalumba, A.M., Ekundayo, O.Y., Busayo, E.T., Akinsanola, A.A., and Nel, W. (2019). "Spatial assessment of drought severity in Cape Town area, South Africa." Heliyon, Vol. 5, No. 7, e02148. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2019.e02148
- Park, J.S., and Kim, K.T. (2009). "Evaluation of MODIS NDVI for drought monitoring: Focused on comparison of drought index." Spatial Information Research, Vol. 17, No. 1, pp. 117-129. (in Korean)
- Peng, S., Chen, A., Xu, L., Cao, C., Fang, J., Myneni, R.B., Pinzon, J. E., Tucker, C.J., and Piao, S. (2011). "Recent change of vegetation growth trend in China." Environmental Research Letters, Vol. 6, No. 4, 044027. doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/6/4/044027
- Peng, S.S., Piao, S., Zeng, Z., Ciais, P., Zhou, L., Li, L.Z., Myneni, R. B., Yin, Y., and Zeng, H. (2014). "Afforestation in China cools local land surface temperature." Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 111, No. 8, pp. 2915-2919. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1315126111
- Piao, S., Ciais, P., Huang, Y., Shen, Z., Peng, S., Li, J., Zhou, L., Liu, H., Ma, Y., Ding, Y., Friedlingstein, P., Liu, C., Tan, K., Yu, Y., Zhang, T., and Fang, J. (2010). "The impacts of climate change on water resources and agriculture in China." Nature, Vol. 467, No. 7311, pp. 43-51. doi: 10.1038/nature09364
- Piao, S., Nan, H., Huntingford, C., Ciais, P., Friedlingstein, P., Sitch, S., Peng, S., Ahlstrom, A., Canadell, J.G., Cong, N., Levis, S., Levy, P.E., Liu, L., Lomas, M.R., Mao, J., Myneni, R.B., Peylin, P., Poulter, B., Shi, X., Yin, G., Viovy, N., Wang, T., Wang, X., Zaehle, S., Zeng, N., Zeng, Z.Z., and Chen, A. (2014). "Evidence for a weakening relationship between interannual temperature variability and northern vegetation activity." Nature Communications, Vol. 5, No. 1, pp. 1-7. doi: 10.1038/ncomms6018
- Piao, S., Yin, G., Tan, J., Cheng, L., Huang, M., Li, Y., Liu, R., Mao, J., Myneni, R.B., Peng, S., Poulter, B., Shi, X., Xiao, Z., Zeng, N., Zeng, Z.Z., and Wang, Y. (2015). "Detection and attribution of vegetation greening trend in China over the last 30 years." Global Change Biology, Vol. 21, No. 4, pp. 1601-1609. doi: 10.1111/gcb.12795
- Pielke, R.A., Avissar, R., Raupach, M., Dolman, A.J., Zeng, X., and Denning, A.S. (1998). "Interactions between the atmosphere and terrestrial ecosystems: Influence on weather and climate." Global Change Biology, Vol. 4, No. 5, pp. 461-475. doi: 10.1046/j.1365-2486.1998.t01-1-00176.x
- Ryu, J.S., Ahn, J., and Kim, S. (2012). "An application of drought severity-area-duration curves using copulas-based joint drought index." Journal of Korea Water Resources Association, Vol. 45, No. 10, pp. 1043-1050. doi: 10.3741/JKWRA.2012.45.10.1043 (in Korean)
- Sadegh, M., Ragno, E., and AghaKouchak, A. (2017). "Multivariate Copula Analysis Toolbox (MvCAT): Describing dependence and underlying uncertainty using a B ayesian framework." Water Resources Research, Vol. 53, No. 6, pp. 5166-5183. doi: 10.1002/2016WR020242
- Salvadori, G., and De Michele, C. (2004). "Frequency analysis via copulas: Theoretical aspects and applications to hydrological events." Water Resources Research, Vol. 40, No. 12, doi: 10.1029/2004WR003133
- Sklar, M. (1959). "Fonctions de repartition an dimensions et leurs marges." Publications de l'Institut de statistique de l'Universite de Paris, Vol. 8, pp. 229-231.
- Tourre, Y.M., Jarlan, L., Lacaux, J.P., Rotela, C.H., and Lafaye, M. (2008). "Spatio-temporal variability of NDVI - precipitation over southernmost South America: Possible linkages between climate signals and epidemics." Environmental Research Letters, Vol. 3, No. 4, 044008. doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/3/4/044008
- Won, J., and Kim, S. (2020). "Future drought analysis using SPI and EDDI to consider climate change in South Korea." Water Supply, Vol. 20, No. 8, pp. 3266-3280, ws2020209, doi: 10.2166/ws.2020.209.
- Won, J., Choi, J., Lee, O. and Kim, S. (2020a). "Copula-based Joint Drought Index using SPI and EDDI and its application to climate change." Science of The Total Environment, Vol. 744, 140701. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.140701
- Won, J., Choi, J., Lee, O., Seo, J., and Kim, S. (2020b). "Weighting coefficient estimation of vegetation health index for ecological drought analysis." Journal of Wetlands Research, Vol. 22, No. 4, pp. 275-285. doi: 10.17663/JWR.2020.22.4.275. (in Korean)
- Won, J., Jang, S., Kim, K., and Kim, S. (2018). "Applicability of the evaporative demand drought index." Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation, Vol. 18, No. 6, pp. 431-442. doi: 10.9798/KOSHAM.2018.18.6.431 (in Korean)
- Yao, N., Li, Y., Lei, T., and Peng, L. (2018). "Drought evolution, severity and trends in mainland China over 1961-2013." Science of the Total Environment, Vol. 616, pp. 73-89. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.10.327
- Zhang, L., and Singh, V.P. (2007). "Bivariate rainfall frequency distributions using Archimedean copulas." Journal of Hydrology, Vol. 332, No. 1-2, pp. 93-109. doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2006.06.033
- Zhang, L.S.V.P., and Singh, V.P. (2006). "Bivariate flood frequency analysis using the copula method." Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, Vol. 11, No. 2, pp. 150-164. doi: 10.1061/ASCE1084-0699200611:2150
- Zhang, Y., Gao, J., Liu, L., Wang, Z., Ding, M., and Yang, X. (2013). "NDVI-based vegetation changes and their responses to climate change from 1982 to 2011: A case study in the Koshi River Basin in the middle Himalayas." Global and Planetary Change, Vol. 108, pp. 139-148. doi: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2013.06.012
- Zhong, L., Ma, Y., Salama, M.S., and Su, Z. (2010). "Assessment of vegetation dynamics and their response to variations in precipitation and temperature in the Tibetan Plateau." Climatic Change, Vol. 103, No. 3, pp. 519-535. doi: 10.1007/s10584-009-9787-8
- Zhou, G., Houlton, B.Z., Wang, W., Huang, W., Xiao, Y., Zhang, Q., Liu, S., Cao, M., Wang, X., Wang, S., Zhang, Y., Yan, J., Liu, J., Tang, X., and Zhang, D. (2014). "Substantial reorganization of China's tropical and subtropical forests: Based on the permanent plots." Global Change Biology, Vol. 20, No. 1, pp. 240-250. doi: 10.1111/gcb.12385