DOI QR코드

DOI QR Code

A Study on Changes and Projection of Residential Conditions by Time Series due to Changing of Population Structure - Focused on the Analysis of Housing Demand Groups Data in 1985 ~ 2015 -

인구구조 변화에 따른 시계열별 주거사정 변화와 예측에 관한 연구 - 1985년 ~ 2015년 주거수요계층별 분석을 중심으로 -

  • Received : 2021.10.02
  • Accepted : 2021.12.08
  • Published : 2021.12.30

Abstract

This study aimed to obtain basic data in order to seek directions for a long-term living in-place environment in the future considering the new elderly groups of the baby boomers, who have been key housing demand groups for the past 30 years. The study analyzed the time series changes in residential situations using Resident Registration Data, Data for estimating future population, and 2% data from the sample of the population and Housing Census (A Type) from 1985 to 2020 when baby boomers enter the elderly. Through this, the study tried to prospect changes in housing demand by life cycle and suggest the direction of the residential environment in consideration of the diversity of life style and regional housing conditions along the aging life cycle after the preliminary aging period. As a result of analyzing the qualitative and quantitative changes in housing demand in the future due to the entry of the baby boomers into the elderly, it is predicted that housing demand will increase rapidly along the aging stage of the current preliminary elderly group. Also, in the process of responding to the aging housing demand, diversity of housing options is required in consideration of the diversity of lifestyles by household. In addition, as the demand to continuous living in the residential area (Aging in Place) increases, regional residential factor analysis was conducted not only to improve the quality of the house itself but also to consider the settlement environment considering regional characteristics.

Keywords

Acknowledgement

이 논문은 2021학년도 제주대학교 교원성과자원사업에 의하여 연구되었음.

References

  1. Byun, N., & Lee, S. (2019). Analysis of the Middle-aged Demand for Elderly Living Service and Present Conditions of Housing, Journal of the Architectural Institute of Korea, 35(3), 13~20.
  2. Cho, S., & Jun, E. (2009). A Study on the Stage of Elderly of the Elderly Households for the Elderly Housing, Journal of the Korean Housing Association, 20(5), 113~122.
  3. Cho, Y. (2021). Population future coexistence, Seoul : Book Stone, 149~159.
  4. Chun, H.,Kim, Y., Chung, H., Kim, H., Ha, S., Kim, J., Yoon, Y., Oh, M., & Kim, T. (2012). Housing and Urban Policy Strategies Responding to Low Fertility (I) (II), Korea Research Institute for Human Settlements
  5. Kim, H., Ko, W., Lim, Y., & Jung, M.(2020). Local Population Policy in South Korea: Problems and Alternatives, Korea Journal of Population Studies, 43(4), 115-138. https://doi.org/10.31693/KJPS.2020.12.43.4.115
  6. Kim, M., Kim, K., Chun, H., Kang, M., Lee, Y., Bae, S., Song, J., & Kim, D. (2016). Housing policy reflecting charateristics of housing consumption regarding the life-cycle stage, Korea Research Institute for Human Settlements
  7. Kim. T. (1994). A study on forecasting of aging trend and housing demand based on population structure, Journal of the Architectural Institute of Korea, Planning and Design Section, 10(11), 37~45.
  8. Kim. T.(2000). A study on Change of residential condition in The elderly by changing of population structure-- with analysis of 2% census data in 1985 and 1995-,Journal of the Korea Gerontological Society, 20(3), 37~50.
  9. Lim, J., & Kang, M. (2015). The Study of Homeownership based on Age Cohort and Generation, Journal of the Architectural Institute of Korea, 31(2), 37~47.
  10. Lim, J., & Kang, M. (2016). A Study on the Characteristics and Spatial Distribution of Homeownership through Generation Change, Journal of the Architectural Institute of Korea, 32(2), 15~24.
  11. Miyake J. (三宅 醇) (1991). Population structure changes and housing conditions (人口構造の変化と住宅事情), Tokyo: Kakuyo Shobo.
  12. Oh, K., Kim, S., Yoon, J., Ahn, S., & Kwon, D.(2017). Impact of population aging on the housing market, BOK Economic Research, 25.
  13. Park. C., Lee, S., & Son, K. (2009). An Analysis of Housing Demand Functions Considering Family Life Cycle, The Korea Spatial Planning Review, 60, 171~187 https://doi.org/10.15793/KSPR.2009.60..010
  14. Park, S., Choi, E., Park, K., Ji, E., & Han, S.(2008). Analysis of the preference for the residential environment of the elderly population and the elderly entrants, Housing City, 85. 224~239.
  15. Ryu, H., & Yang, S.(2010). The Research Trends of Elderly Housing-Focused on Journal Papers since 1990-, Journal of the Korean Housing Association, 21(5), 51~61. https://doi.org/10.6107/JKHA.2010.21.5.051