DOI QR코드

DOI QR Code

The Impact of Trade Facilitation on Bilateral Trade Flows-Focusing on China and the other Belt and Road member countries

무역원활화가 양국 간 무역에 미치는 영향 -중국과 일대일로 회원국을 중심으로-

  • Hai-Ming Guan (Department of International Business and Trade, Kyung Hee University) ;
  • Hail Park (Department of International Business and Trade, Kyung Hee University)
  • Received : 2020.06.10
  • Accepted : 2020.08.28
  • Published : 2020.08.31

Abstract

This study mainly measures the level of trade facilitation in member countries along the "the Belt and Road" and discusses the impact of trade facilitation on bilateral trade. Based on the research results of domestic and foreign scholars, this study made a new systematic measuring system which covering 4 indicators and 15 subordinate indicators, to obtain the trade facilitation index. Based on the extended gravity model, this paper conducts a panel data, for more than 50 major trading members along the "the Belt and Road" during 2010~2017 as an example to empirically study the relationship between the trade facilitation level of major trading members and the volume of China's import and export trade. The results show that the level of trade facilitation among member countries is not high and the trade facilitation variable has positive value, indicating that the trade facilitation variable has positive effect on increasing bilateral trade. If the trade facilitation increases by 1% respectively, the bilateral trade level will increase by 0.98% separately. Finally, according to the regression results of four aspects of the trade facilitation index system, e-business development plays the most significant role in promoting trade facilitation.

Keywords

References

  1. Ahn Kyung-Ae and Mee-Jin Cho (2013), A Study on Economic Effects of WTO Trade Facilitation: Focusing on G20 Countries. Korea Research Academy of Distribution and Management, 16(1), 33-42. https://doi.org/10.17961/jdmr.16.1.201303.33
  2. Feng Xuewen (2019), The Study on The Impact of Trade Facilitation for The Belt and Road Countries to China's Export. China Academic journal Electronic Publishing House.
  3. Jung Moon-Hyun (2014), A Study on the Differential Impact of Trade Facilitation on the Trade of Special Quality Goods - Applying for APEC Countries. Korea Trade Research Association, 39(2), 193-222.
  4. Kim Jang-Ho, Kwan-Seon Choi (2015), A Study on Trade Facilitation Agreement and Rolls of e-Trade. International Commerce and Information Review, 17(1), 29-55. https://doi.org/10.15798/KAICI.17.1.201503.29
  5. Kim Tae-Young and Kyung-Ae Ahn (2014), Analysis on the Effects of Tariff on Bilateral Trade Flows using Spatial Gravity Model: Focus on the Korea-US Free Trade Agreement. Korea Trade Research Association, 39(5), 161-183.
  6. Kong Qing-feng, Hong-Wei Dong (2015), Trade Facilitation and Trade Potential of Countries along "the Belt and Road". China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House.
  7. Portugal-Perez, A. and J. S. Wilson (2012), Export performance and trade facilitation reform: Hard and soft infrastructure. World Development, 40(7), 1295-1307. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2011.12.002
  8. Su Xiao-Li (2018), Trade facilication, and effect of FDI on export: based on the countries along Silk Road Economic Belt. China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House.
  9. Tinbergen, J. (1962), Shaping the world economy; suggestions for an international economic policy.
  10. Wang Wei-Wei and Yong-lin Tan (2019), The Effect of the Level of Trade Facilitation on Bilateral Trade Flow along the Belt and Road. China Academic journal Electronic Publishing Hous.
  11. Wei Wei, Wang Yi-Fan and Chen Yan-Long (2019), Trade Facilitation and Trade Development Between China-B&R Countries: A Study Based on Panel Threshold Model. Journal of Macro-Quality Research, 2019(4):8.
  12. Wilson, J. S., C. L. Mann and T. Otsuki (2003), Trade facilitation and economic development: A new approach to quantifying the impact. The World Bank Economic Review, 17(3), 367-389. https://doi.org/10.1093/wber/lhg027
  13. Ye Chen (2019), The Impact of Trade Facilitation on the Bilateral Trade Level Between China and other Countries within the Belt and Road. China Academic journal Electronic Publishing House.
  14. Zeng Zheng and Zhou Qian (2008), The Evaluating System of Trade Facilitation and its Impact on China's Export. International Economics and Trade Research, 2008(10):4-9.