DOI QR코드

DOI QR Code

INBOUND TOURISM IN UZBEKISTAN: DEMAND ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING

  • Received : 2020.03.22
  • Accepted : 2020.04.16
  • Published : 2020.08.31

Abstract

Tourism development stimulates job creation and the development of other sectors of the economy. More than 30 sectors of the economy are connected to tourism. It distributes resources between sectors and stimulates of development of such sectors like transport, communications, services, trade, construction, and the production of consumer goods. All these increase the importance of tourism as well as forecasting it by analyzing the demand. This study is a review on inbound tourism of Uzbekistan. The study will examine regression analysis as an effective tool that plays an important role as well as in the field of tourism demand analysis. In this study, firstly the estimating tourism demand is explained, secondly, the regression analysis is examined as an estimating tool of tourism demand. The paper includes a country study dedicated to the Tourism market of Uzbekistan. Nevertheless, the forecast on the inbound tourism of Uzbekistan was developed by using some statistical data.

Keywords

References

  1. Akarapong Untong, Vicente Ramos, Mingsarn Kaosa-Ard, Javier Rey-Maquieira. Tourism Economics, vol. 21, 6: pp. 1221-1234., First Published December 1, 2015. https://doi.org/10.5367/te.2015.0520
  2. Andrea Saayman, Jacques de Klerk Forecasting tourist arrivals using multivariate singular spectrum analysis. Tourism Economics, vol. 25, 3: pp. 330-354. , First Published May 8, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1177/1354816618768318
  3. Carey Goh, Rob Law, Henry M. K. Mok Journal of Travel Research, vol. 46, 3: pp. 327-338., First Published February 1, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1177/0047287506304047
  4. Huang, Y.-L. (2012), 'Forecasting the demand for health tourism in Asian countries using a GM (1,1)-Alpha model', Tourism and Hospitality Management, Vol 18, No 2, pp 171-181 https://doi.org/10.20867/thm.18.2.1
  5. Inoyatova, Sitora & Obidjon, Khamidov. (2018). ICT in Uzbekistan Tourism: analysis of online customer reviews.
  6. Jumayev, A. (2020). Statistical Analyses of Tourism in Uzbekistan: An Empirical Test of Tourism A-B-C (T-ABC) Model. Bulletin of Science and Practice. 6. 193-202. 10.33619/2414-2948/51/19.
  7. WEF. (2013). World Economic Forum. "The Travel and Tourism Competitiveness Report 2013. Reducing barriers to economic growth and job creation".
  8. See discussions, stats, and author profiles for this publication at: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/238087247 Tourism demand modelling and forecasting - A review of Recent research
  9. https://whc.unesco.org/en/statesparties/uz
  10. http://uzunesco.org/