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Analysis of the Relationship between a Batter's Performance and Discomfort Index using Big Data: focusing on the Number of Pitches and On Base Percentage

빅데이터를 활용한 타자의 출루 관련 경기력과 불쾌지수의 관계 분석 : 투구 수 유도와 출루율을 중심으로

  • Kim, Semin (Dept. of Computer Education, Jeonju National University of Education) ;
  • You, Kangsoo (School of Liberal Arts, Jeonju University)
  • 김세민 (전주교육대학교 컴퓨터교육과) ;
  • 유강수 (전주대학교 교양학부)
  • Received : 2020.07.20
  • Accepted : 2020.08.21
  • Published : 2020.08.31

Abstract

Recently, attempts have been made to use data to operate games, seasons, and teams in professional baseball. Therefore, in this study, we collected baseball game records and analyzed the relationship between on-base rate and pitching count induction, and this was defined as the third record for non-game factors such as discomfort index, which includes the weather application data. When the discomfort index was over 75, the pitcher's induction of pitching was high, and when the discomfort index was less than 69.9, the on-base rate was high, but when the discomfort index was 70 or more and less than 75, the batter's on-base performance was the lowest. Through the results of the study, it could be inferred that the discomfort index, the batter's on-base rate, and the number of induction pitches are related, and that it is highly likely to be related to the pitcher's performance. Through this study, we could see the possibility of defining a cumulative/ratio record defined as the primary record and a saver metric defined as the secondary record, and a third, tertiary record linking data outside the game.

최근 프로야구에서 데이터를 활용하여 경기, 시즌, 팀을 운영하려는 시도가 일반화 되고 있다. 이에 본 연구에서는 기상 응용 데이터인 불쾌지수와 같은 경기 외적인 요소를 야구 경기 기록을 수집하고 출루율과 투구 수 유도와의 관계를 분석하였으며 이를 3차 기록으로 정의하여 연구를 수행하였다. 불쾌지수가 75이상일 때 투수의 투구 수 유도가 많이 되었으며, 불쾌지수가 69.9 이하일 때는 출루율이 높게 나왔으나, 불쾌지수가 70이상 75미만일 때는 타자의 출루 관련 경기력이 가장 저조한 것으로 나타났다. 연구 결과를 통하여 불쾌지수와 타자의 출루율과 투구 유도 수는 관계가 있으며, 투수의 경기력과 관계있을 가능성이 높다고 유추할 수 있었다. 본 연구를 통하여 1차 기록이라 정의하는 누적·비율기록과 2차 기록이라 정의하는 세이버메트릭스에 이어서 경기 외적인 데이터를 연계하는 3차 기록으로 정의할 수 있는 가능성을 볼 수 있었다.

Keywords

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