DOI QR코드

DOI QR Code

Seasonal variability of cyclone heat potential and cyclonic responses in the Bay of Bengal characterized using moored observatories

  • Vengatesan, G. (National Institute of Ocean Technology, Ministry of Earth Sciences) ;
  • Shanmugam, P. (Indian Institute of Technology) ;
  • Venkatesan, R. (National Institute of Ocean Technology, Ministry of Earth Sciences) ;
  • Vedachalam, N. (National Institute of Ocean Technology, Ministry of Earth Sciences) ;
  • Joseph, Jossia K. (National Institute of Ocean Technology, Ministry of Earth Sciences)
  • 투고 : 2019.03.12
  • 심사 : 2019.12.30
  • 발행 : 2020.06.25

초록

Cyclone Heat Potential (CHP) is an essential parameter for accurate prediction of the intensity of tropical cyclones. The variability of the heat storage in the near-surface layers and the vertical stratification near the surface due to large fresh water inputs create challenges in predicting the intraseasonal and interannual evolution of monsoons and tropical cyclones in the Bay of Bengal. This paper for the first time presents the D26- referenced cyclone heat potential observed in the Bay of Bengal during the period 2012-17 based on the in-situ data collected from 5.5 million demanding offshore instrument-hours of operation in the Ocean Moored Buoy Network for Northern Indian Ocean (OMNI) buoy network by the National Institute of Ocean Technology. It is observed that the CHP in the Bay of Bengal varied from 0-220 kJ/㎠ during various seasons. From the moored buoy observations, a CHP of ~ 90 kJ/㎠ with the D26 isotherm of minimum 100m is favorable for the intensification of the post-monsoon tropical cyclones. The responses of the D26 thermal structure during major tropical cyclone events in the Bay of Bengal are also presented.

키워드

과제정보

We thank the Ministry of Earth Sciences (MoES), Govt. of India for funding this project. We are indebted to the Directors of NIOT, Chennai, NCAOR, Goa and INCOIS, Hyderabad for providing all the facilities and logistic support. We also thank the staff of Ocean Observation Systems (OOS) group, Vessel Management Cell of the NIOT and ship staff for their excellent help and support on board.

참고문헌

  1. Ando, K., Kuroda, Y., Fujii, Y., Fukuda, T., Hasegawa, T., Horii, T., Ishihara, Y., Kashino, Y., Masumoto, Y., Mizuno, K. and Nagura, M. (2017), "Fifteen years progress of the TRITON array in the Western Pacific and Eastern Indian Oceans", J. Oceanography, 73(4), 403-426. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10872-017-0414-4
  2. Bourles, B., Lumpkin, R., McPhaden, M.J., Hernandez, F., Nobre, P., Campos, E., Yu, L., Planton, S., Busalacchi, A., Moura, A.D. and Servain, J. (2008), "The PIRATA program: History, accomplishments, and future directions", Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 89(8), 1111-1126. https://doi.org/10.1175/2008BAMS2462.1
  3. Chaitanya, A.V.S., Durand, F., Mathew, S., Gopalakrishna, V.V., Papa, F., Lengaigne, M., Vialard, J., Kranthikumar, C. and Venkatesan, R. (2015), "Observed year-to-year sea surface salinity variability in the Bay of Bengal during the 2009-2014 period", Ocean Dynam., 65(2), 173-186. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10236-014-0802-x
  4. Cyriac, A., McPhaden, M.J., Phillips, H.E., Bindoff, N.L. and Feng, M., "Seasonal evolution of the surface layer heat balance in the eastern subtropical Indian Ocean", J. Geophys. Res: Oceans.
  5. Ho, C.R., Tsao, Y.H., Kuo, N.J. and Huang, S.J. (2011), "Estimation of Tropical Cyclone Heat Potential from Oceanic Measurements", Proceedings of the ASME 2011 30th International Conference on Ocean, Offshore and Arctic Engineering (pp. 817-822). American Society of Mechanical Engineers Digital Collection.
  6. Hermes, J.C., Masumoto, Y., Beal, L., Roxy, M., Vialard, J., Andres, M., Annamalai, H., Behera, S., d'Adamo, N., Feng, M. and Han, W. (2019), "A sustained ocean observing system in the Indian Ocean for climate related scientific knowledge and societal needs", Front. Marine Sci., 6, 355. https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2019.00355
  7. Jangir, B., Swain, D. and Bhaskar, T.U. (2016), May. Relation between tropical cyclone heat potential and cyclone intensity in the North Indian Ocean. In Remote Sensing and Modeling of the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Interactions VI (Vol. 9882, p. 988228). International Society for Optics and Photonics.
  8. Krishnamurti, T.N., Jana, S., Krishnamurti, R., Kumar, V., Deepa, R., Papa, F., Bourassa, M.A. and Ali, M.M. (2017), "Monsoonal intraseasonal oscillations in the ocean heat content over the surface layers of the Bay of Bengal", J. Marine Syst., 167, 19-32. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmarsys.2016.11.002
  9. Kumar, M.R., Pinker, R.T., Mathew, S., Venkatesan, R. and Chen, W. (2018), "Evaluation of radiative fluxes over the north Indian Ocean", Theor. Appl. Climatology, 132(3-4), 983-988. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-017-2141-6
  10. Karmakar, A., Parekh, A., Chowdary, J.S. and Gnanaseelan, C. (2018), "Inter comparison of Tropical Indian Ocean features in different ocean reanalysis products", Climate Dynam., 51(1-2), 119-141. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3910-8
  11. Leipper, D.F. and Volgenau, D. (1972), "Hurricane heat potential of the Gulf of Mexico", J. Phys. Oceanography, 2(3), 218-224. https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0485(1972)002<0218:HHPOTG>2.0.CO;2
  12. Lin, I.I., Goni, G.J., Knaff, J.A., Forbes, C. and Ali, M.M. (2013), "Ocean heat content for tropical cyclone intensity forecasting and its impact on storm surge", Natural Hazards, 66(3), 1481-1500. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-012-0214-5
  13. Makarieva, A.M., Gorshkov, V.G., Nefiodov, A.V., Chikunov, A.V., Sheil, D., Nobre, A.D. and Li, B.L., (2016), "The water budget of a hurricane as dependent on its movement", arXiv preprint arXiv :1604.05119. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2017.04.006
  14. Mathew, S., Natesan, U., Latha, G., Venkatesan, R., Rao, R.R. and Ravichandran, M. (2018), "Observed warming of sea surface temperature in response to tropical cyclone Thane in the Bay of Bengal", Current Sci., 114(7), 1407. https://doi.org/10.18520/cs/v114/i07/1407-1413
  15. Maneesha, K., Murty, V.S.N., Ravichandran, M., Lee, T., Yu, W. and McPhaden, M.J. (2012), "Upper ocean variability in the Bay of Bengal during the tropical cyclones Nargis and Laila", Progress in Oceanography, 106, 49-61. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pocean.2012.06.006
  16. Maneesha, K., Sadhuram, Y. and Prasad, K.V.S.R. (2015), "Role of upper ocean parameters in the genesis, intensification and tracks of cyclones over the Bay of Bengal", J. Operational Oceanography, 8(2), 133-146. https://doi.org/10.1080/1755876X.2015.1087185
  17. McPhaden, M.J., Busalacchi, A.J., Cheney, R., Donguy, J.R., Gage, K.S., Halpern, D., Ji, M., Julian, P., Meyers, G., Mitchum, G.T. and Niiler, P.P. (1998), "The tropical ocean‐global atmosphere observing system: A decade of progress", J. Geophys. Res: Oceans, 103(7), 14169-14240. https://doi.org/10.1029/97JC02906
  18. Nath, S., Kotal, S.D. and Kundu, P.K. (2016), "Decadal variation of ocean heat content and tropical cyclone activity over the Bay of Bengal", J. Earth Syst. Sci., 125(1), 65-74. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12040-015-0651-0
  19. Palmen, E. (1948), "On the formation and structure of tropical hurricanes", Geophysica, 3(1), 26-38.
  20. Reddy, B.N.K., Venkatesan, R., Osuri, K.K., Mathew, S., Kadiyam, J. and Joseph, K.J. (2018), "Comparison of AMSR-2 wind speed and sea surface temperature with moored buoy observations over the Northern Indian Ocean", J. Earth Syst. Sci., 127(1), 14.. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12040-017-0902-3
  21. Sadhuram, Y., Maneesha, K. and Murty, T.R. (2010), "Importance of upper ocean heat content in the intensification and translation speed of cyclones over the Bay of Bengal", Current Sci., 99(9), 1191-1194.
  22. Sadhuram, Y. and Murthy, T.V. (2006), "Estimation of tropical cyclone heat potential in the Bay of Bengal and its role in the genesis and intensification of storms".
  23. Srinivasa Kumar, T., Venkatesan, R., Vedachalam, N., Padmanabham, J. and Sundar, R. (2016), "Assessment of the reliability of the Indian Tsunami early warning system", Marine Technol. Soc. J., 50(3), 92-108. https://doi.org/10.4031/MTSJ.50.3.12
  24. Venkatesan, R., Arul Muthiah, M., Ramesh, K., Ramasundaram, S., Sundar, R. and Atmanand, M.A. (2013), "Satellite communication systems for ocean observational platforms: Societal importance and challenges", J. Ocean Technol., 8(3).
  25. Venkatesan, R., Kadiyam, J., Senthil Kumar, P., Lavanya, R. and Vedaprakash, L. (2017), "Marine biofouling on moored buoys and sensors in the Northern Indian Ocean", Mar. Technol. Soc. J., 51(2), 22-30. https://doi.org/10.4031/MTSJ.51.2.11
  26. Venkatesan, R., Mathew, S., Vimala, J., Latha, G., Muthiah, M.A., Ramasundaram, S., Sundar, R., Lavanya, R. and Atmanand, M.A. (2014), "Signatures of very severe cyclonic storm Phailin in met-ocean parameters observed by moored buoy network in the Bay of Bengal", Current Sci., 589-595.
  27. Venkatesan, R., Ramasundaram, S., Sundar, R., Vedachalam, N., Lavanya, R. and Atmanand, M.A. (2015), "Reliability assessment of state-of-the-art real-time data reception and analysis system for the Indian seas", Mar. Technol. Soc. J., 49(3), 127-134. https://doi.org/10.4031/MTSJ.49.3.6
  28. Venkatesan, R., Senthilkumar, P., Vedachalam, N. and Murugesh, P. (2017), "Biofouling and its effects in sensor mounted moored observatory system in Northern Indian Ocean", Int. Biodeterioration & Biodegradation, 116, 198-204. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ibiod.2016.10.034
  29. Venkatesan, R., Sundar, R., Vedachalam, N. and Jossia Joseph, K. (2016), "India's Ocean observation network: Relevance to society", Mar. Technol. Soc. J., 50(3), 34-46.
  30. Venkatesan, R., Shamji, V.R., Latha, G., Mathew, S., Rao, R.R., Muthiah, A. and Atmanand, M.A. (2013), "In situ ocean subsurface time-series measurements from OMNI buoy network in the Bay of Bengal", Current Sci., 1166-1177. https://doi.org/10.18520/cs/v111/i7/1166-1172
  31. Venkatesan, R., Vedachalam, N., Muthiah, M.A., Sundar, R., Kesavakumar, B., Ramasundaram, S. and Jossia Joseph, K. (2018), "Reliability metrics from two decades of Indian Ocean moored buoy observation network", Mar. Technol. Soc. J., 52(3), 71-90. https://doi.org/10.4031/mtsj.52.3.14
  32. Venkatesan, R., Vedachalam, N., Murugesh, P., Kaliyaperumal, P., Kalaivanan, C.K., Gnanadhas, T. and Atmanand, M.A. (2015), "Reliability analysis and integrity management of instrumented buoy moorings for monitoring the Indian Seas", Underwater Technol., 33(2), 115-126. https://doi.org/10.3723/ut.33.115
  33. Venkatesan, R., Vedachalam, N., Muthiah, M.A., Kesavakumar, B., Sundar, R. and Atmanand, M.A. (2015), "Evolution of reliable and cost-effective power systems for buoys used in monitoring Indian seas", Mar. Technol. Soc. J., 49(1), 71-87 https://doi.org/10.4031/MTSJ.49.1.8
  34. Venkatesan, R., Vengatesan, G., Vedachalam, N., Muthiah, M.A., Lavanya, R. and Atmanand, M.A. (2016), "Reliability assessment and integrity management of data buoy instruments used for monitoring the Indian Seas", Appl. Ocean Res., 54, 1-11. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apor.2015.10.004
  35. Vedachalam, N., Ravindran, M. and Atmanand, M.A. (2019), "Technology developments for the strategic Indian blue economy", Marine Georesources & Geotechnology, 37(7), 828-844. https://doi.org/10.1080/1064119X.2018.1501625
  36. Vissa, N.K., Satyanarayana, A.N.V. and Kumar, B.P. (2012), "Response of upper ocean during passage of MALA cyclone utilizing ARGO data", Int. J. Appl. Earth Observ. Geoinformation, 14(1), 149-159. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jag.2011.08.015
  37. Weller, R.A., Farrar, J.T., Buckley, J., Mathew, S., Venkatesan, R., Lekha, J.S., Chaudhuri, D., Kumar, N.S. and Kumar, B.P. (2016), "Air-sea interaction in the Bay of Bengal", Oceanography, 29(2), 28-37. https://doi.org/10.5670/oceanog.2016.36