Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers (한국농공학회논문집)

The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers (한국농공학회)
권호 표지
DOI QR코드

DOI QR Code

A Study on the Resilient Supply of Agricultural Water in Jeju Island by Forecasting Future Demand

미래 수요예측을 통한 제주도 농업용수 회복탄력적 공급 방안에 관한 연구

  • Go, Jea-han (Chonnam Regional Headquarter, Korea Rural Community Corporation (KRC)) ;
  • Jeung, Minhyuk (Department of Rural and Bio-Systems Engineering, Chonnam National University) ;
  • Beom, Jina (Department of Rural and Bio-Systems Engineering, Chonnam National University) ;
  • Sung, Mu-hong (Chonnam Regional Headquarter, Korea Rural Community Corporation (KRC)) ;
  • Jung, Hyoung-mo (Project planning Office, Korea Rural Community Corporation (KRC)) ;
  • Yoo, Seung-hwan (Department of Rural and Bio-Systems Engineering, Chonnam National University) ;
  • Yoon, Kwang-sik (Department of Rural and Bio-Systems Engineering, Chonnam National University)
  • Received : 2020.04.09
  • Accepted : 2020.05.25
  • Published : 2020.05.31
Download PDF
⟨ Previous Next ⟩

Abstract

Resilience is the capacity to maintain essential services under a range of circumstances from normal to extreme. It is achieved through the ability of assets, networks, systems and management to anticipate, absorb and recover from disturbance. It requires adaptive capacity in respect of current and future risks and uncertainties as well as experience to date. The agricultural infrastructures with high resilience can not only reduce the size of the disaster relatively, but also minimize the loss by reducing the time required for recovery. This study aims to evaluate the most suitable drought countermeasures with the analysis of various resilience indices by predicting future agricultural water shortage under land use and climate change scenarios for agricultural areas in Jeju Island. The results showed that the permanent countermeasure is suitable than the temporary countermeasures as drought size and the cost required for recovery increase. Wide-area water supply system, which is a kind of water grid system, is identified as the most advantageous among countermeasures. It is recommended to evaluate the capability of agricultural infrastructure against drought with the various Resilience Indices for reliable assessment of long-term effect.

Keywords

References

  1. Bates, B. C., Z. W. Kundzewicz, S. Wu, and J. P. Palutikof, 2008. Climate change and water. Paper of the inter-governmental panel on climate change. IPCC Secretariat, Geneva.
  2. Choi, K. J., S. H. Song, J. S. Kim, and C. U. Lim, 2013. Estimation of regional agricultural water demand over the Jeju Island. Journal of Environmental Science 22(5): 639-649 (in Korean). doi:10.5322/JESI.2013.22.5.639.
  3. FAO, 1998. Crop evaporationspiration, FAO Irrigation and Drainage Paper 56.
  4. Holling, C. S., 1973. Resilience and stability of ecological systems. Annual Review of Ecology and Systematics 4: 1-23. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev.es.04.110173.000245
  5. IPCC, Climate Change, 2007. Synthesis report. Contribution if working groups I, II and III to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Core Writing Team, R. K Pachauri and A. Reisinger, Eds., IPCC, Geneva, 102.
  6. Jeju National University, 2003. Estimation of irrigation water requirements for upland crops in Jeju (in Korean).
  7. Jeju Special Self-Govering Province, 2013. Jeju special self-govering province master plan for water resources management, 7-19 (in Korean).
  8. Jeju Special Self-Governing Province and Korea Rural Community Corporation (KRC), 2013. Jeju Island agricultural comprehensive planning (in Korean).
  9. Jeju Special Self-Governing Province and KRC, 2018. Groundwater well performance unit price (in Korean).
  10. Jeju Special Self-Governing Province, 2016. Groundwater management status. http://water.jeju.go.kr/ (in Korean).
  11. Jung, U, Y., S. J. Kim, and H. K. Choi, 2009. Recovery cost evaluation and practical application for index assessment of private facilities damaged by natural disaster. Journal Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation 9(3): 67-73 (in Korean).
  12. Kang, D. S., T. U Kim, and J. H. Ahn, 2013b. Water resources infrastructure, sustainability and resilience. Journal of Disaster Manage 13(1): 309-315. doi:10.9798/KOSHAM.2013.13.1.309
  13. Kang, S. J., 2013a. A policy implication for community resilience from natural disasters. Journal Gyeonggi Research Institute 121(102): 102 (in Korean).
  14. Kim, T. H., H. J. Kim, and K. J. Lee, 2011. The concept and functional objectives of the urban resilience for disaster management. Journal of the Korean Society of Safety 26: 65-70 (in Korean).
  15. Kim, S. U., 2016. Policy tasks for efficient drought management (Focus on hydrological drought), National Assembly Legislative Survey, 2 (in Korean).
  16. Kingwell, R., 2006. Climate change in Australia: agricultural impacts and adaptation. Australasian Agribusiness Review 14(1): 29.
  17. Korea Development Institute (KDI), 2016. Juju special self-govering province preliminary feasibility study report for intergrated agricultural water consolidation project (in Korean).
  18. KRC, 2005. Estimation of irrigation water requirements for upland crops in Jeju (in Korean).
  19. KRC, 2017. Seongup district rural water development project, Chapter 6 Operating expenses (in Korean).
  20. Lee, C. M., J. H. Jung, J. S. An, J. Y. Kim, and Y. J. Choi, 2016. Establishment of resilient infrastructures for the mitigation of an urban water problem: 1. Robustness assessment of structural alternatives for the problem of urban floods. Ecology and Resilient Infrastructure 3: 117-125. https://doi.org/10.17820/eri.2016.3.2.117
  21. Ministry of Agriculture, Food and Rural Affairs (MAFRA), 2017. Drought countermeasure price list.
  22. MAFRA and KRC, 2014. Gujwa district rural demand regionalization project plan, Chapter 6 Operating expenses.
  23. MAFRA and KRC, 2017. Jeju agricultural water intergrated regionalization project basic survey report, Chapter 6 Operating expenses.
  24. National Infrastructure Advisory Council (NIAC), 2009. Critical infrastructure resilience. http://www.dhs.gov/xlibrary/assets/niac/niac_critical_infrastructure_resilience.pdf; Retrieved on Dec 1 2015.
  25. O'Brien, K., R. Leichenko, U. Kelkar, H. Venema, G. Aandahl, H. Tompkins, A. Javed, S. Bhadwal, S. Barg, L. Nygaard, and J. West, 2004. Mapping vulnerability to multiple stressors: climate change and globalization in India. Glob Environ Change 14: 303-313. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2004.01.001
  26. Park, J. H., J . H. Go, Y. J. Jo, K. H. J u ng, M. H. S u ng, H. M. Jung, H. K. Park, S. H. Yoo, and K. S. Yoon, 2018. Water supply alternatives for drought by weather scenarios considering resilience: Focusing on Naju Reservoir. Journal of Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers 60(5): 115-124 (in Korean). https://doi.org/10.5389/KSAE.2018.60.5.115
  27. KRC, 2016. Post-Management report of underground water development facilities to public well for agricultural use, (Jeju 2013-2016, Seogwipo 2015-2016) (in Korean).
  28. Ribot, J. C., 1996. Climate variability, climate change, and social vulnerability in the semi-arid tropics, Cambridge, New York, NY, Cambridge University Press, 190.
  29. Seo, S. K., B. C. Jeon, G. S. Lee, and S. H. Song, 2019. Change of groundwater usage according to increase of facilities in agricultural complex near river, 1 p. (in Korean).
  30. Song, S. H., and K. J. Choi, 2012a. An appropriate utilization of agricultural water resources of Jeju Island with climate change (I). Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment 17(2): 62-70 (in Korean). doi:10.7857/JSGE.2012.17.2.062.
  31. Song, S. H., K. J. Choi, and J. S. Kim, 2012b. Correlationship between groundwater level fluctuation and climate change with spring drought in 2012. In Proc. of Workshop for 6th Jeju Water Resources Management Advancement, 47-68 (in Korean).
  32. Vugrin, E. D., and R. C. Camphouse, 2011. Infrastructure resilience assessment through control design. International Journal of Critical Infrastructures 7: 243-260. doi:10.1504/IJCIS.2011.042994.
  33. Vugrin, E. D., D. E. Warren, M. A. Ehlen, and R. C. Camphouse, 2010. A framework for assessing the resilience of infrastructure and economic systems. In Gopalakrishnan, K. and Peeta, S. (eds.), Sustainable and Resilient Critical Infrastructure Systems, Springer-Verlan, Berlin, Germany, 77-116. doi:10.1007/978-3-642-11405-2_3.
  34. Yu , S. Y., S. W. Kim, K. H. Park, C. W. Oh, D. K. Park, and C. Y. Kim, 2012. Quantitative resilience analysis of Fiji to cyclones. Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation 12: 55-63 (in Korean). doi:10.9798/KOSHAM.2012.12.2.055.