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Economic Evaluation of the HAM300 Yarding Operation with Tree-Length Harvesting Method in Larix kaempferi Forest Stands

낙엽송 전간수확작업에서 HAM300을 이용한 집재작업의 작업일수 및 작업량을 고려한 경제성 분석

  • Lee, Eunjai (Forest Technology and Management Research Center, National Institute of Forest Science) ;
  • Im, Sangjun (Department of Forest Sciences, Seoul National University) ;
  • Lee, Sung-Jae (Seoul National University Forest) ;
  • Han, Sang-Kyun (Department of Forestry, Korea National College of Agriculture and Fishers)
  • 이은재 (국립산림과학원 산림기술경영연구소) ;
  • 임상준 (서울대학교 산림과학부) ;
  • 이성재 (서울대학교 학술림) ;
  • 한상균 (한국농수산대학 산림학과)
  • Received : 2019.02.04
  • Accepted : 2020.03.09
  • Published : 2020.03.31

Abstract

Two strategies for calculating economic feasibility are the machine rate and cash-flow methods. This study used the cash-flow method to evaluate the economic feasibility of the HAM300 yarding operation for extracting tree length logs in Larix kaempferi forest stands. In financial analysis based on 7-year cash-flow, the net present value and pay-back period method were used. We analyzed two scenarios: operating opportunities (50, 100, 150, and 200 days per year) and productivity change yield (7.5 and 10.5 ㎥/scheduled machine hour: SMH). The analysis indicated that high rates of return on extraction activity investment can be achieved when machines are used for >150 days per year. In addition, improved productivity (10.5 ㎥/SMH) increased financial feasibility compared to current productivity (7.5 ㎥/SMH) when machines were operated for 100 days per year. These results suggest that the appropriateness of HAM300 harvesting depends on the number of annual operating days and productivity.

목재수확작업의 경제성을 분석하기 위한 방법은 기계비용법(machine rate method)과 현금흐름법(cash-flow method: CFM)으로 구분할 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 CFM을 이용하여 낙엽송 임분에서 HAM300 전간집재작업의 경제적 타당성 분석을 실시하였다. 즉, 연간 작업일수(50, 100, 150, 200일/년)와 작업 생산성 변화(효율성 40% 개선 효과)에 대하여 집재작업의 경제적 타당성을 평가하고자 하였다. 분석방법으로는 순현재가치법(net present value: NPV)과 자본회수기간법(pay-back period)을 이용하였다. 연간 작업일수가 150일 이상인 조건에서 NPV의 값이 0보다 크기 때문에 경제적 타당성이 충분한 것으로 나타났으며, 이 때 자본회수기간은 3.65년 이하로 분석되었다. 작업생산성(㎥/scheduled machine hour)이 40% 증가하는 시나리오에서는 연간 작업일수가 100일인 조건에서도 현금흐름이 안정적이며, 경제적 효과가 큰 것으로 나타났다. 하지만, 연간 작업일수가 50일 이하인 경우에는 집재작업의 수익성이 악화되어 투자에 대한 의사결정이 어려운 것으로 분석되었다. 결과적으로, HAM300 집재작업은 수익성이 있는 작업조건(연간작업일수: 100일 이상, 연간작업량: 5,000 ㎥)이 지속적으로 확보가 가능하다고 판단되는 작업조건에서 투자에 대한 결정이 이루어져야 한다.

Keywords

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