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Rederivation of Gertler's model and analysis of the Korean economy

  • Lee, Hangsuck (Department of Actuarial Science/Mathematics, Sungkyunkwan University) ;
  • Son, Jihoon (Center for Fiscal Projections, Korea Institute of Public Finance)
  • Received : 2020.07.28
  • Accepted : 2020.10.15
  • Published : 2020.11.30

Abstract

This paper makes a theoretical contribution by providing clear and detailed derivation of economic agents' decision problems including elastic labor supply in Gertler's overlapping generation (OLG) model. We apply the model to the Korean economy by calibration based on Korean economic data. It also analyzes the impact of current social issues such as aging and extension of retirement age, on the Korean economy in a long-run equilibrium. Subsequently, we also discuss the implications of the analysis. Aging has prolonged the period of retirement; therefore, population structure changes by the increase in the proportion of retirees, the total consumption-to-GDP ratio decreases, and capital stock increases due to reduced propensity to consume out of wealth in preparation for an individual's retirement life. The implementation of retirement age extension increases the proportion of retirees relatively less and alleviates fluctuations in labor supply and the share of financial assets for both economic agents. However, the decrements in consumption-to-GDP ratio is larger than before, and this leads to a larger rise in the capital stock compared to when there is only an aging effect.

Keywords

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