DOI QR코드

DOI QR Code

폐경 여성에서 트리기반 머신러닝 모델로부터 골다공증 예측

Predictive of Osteoporosis by Tree-based Machine Learning Model in Post-menopause Woman

  • 이인자 (동남보건대학교 방사선과) ;
  • 이준호 (동남보건대학교 방사선과)
  • Lee, In-Ja (Department of Radiological Technology, Dongnam Health university) ;
  • Lee, Junho (Department of Radiological Technology, Dongnam Health university)
  • 투고 : 2020.11.27
  • 심사 : 2020.12.24
  • 발행 : 2020.12.31

초록

In this study, the prevalence of osteoporosis was predicted based on 10 independent variables such as age, weight, and alcohol consumption and 4 tree-based machine-learning models, and the performance of each model was compared. Also the model with the highest performance was used to check the performance by clearing the independent variable, and Area Under Curve(ACU) was utilized to evaluate the performance of the model. The ACU for each model was Decision tree 0.663, Random forest 0.704, GBM 0.702, and XGBoost 0.710 and the importance of the variable was shown in the order of age, weight, and family history. As a result of using XGBoost, the highest performance model and clearing independent variables, the ACU shows the best performance of 0.750 with 7 independent variables. This data suggests that this method be applied to predict osteoporosis, but also other various diseases. In addition, it is expected to be used as basic data for big data research in the health care field.

키워드

참고문헌

  1. Park H, So J. The validational study of OSTA (Osteoporosis Self Assessment Tool for Asian) for prediction of osteoporosis in korean post- and perimenopausal women. Obstetrics & Gynecology Science. 2003;46(2):276-82.
  2. Kang B, Kwon S, Kim D, Kim E, Kim I, Kim J, et al. Manual of bone densitometry. Seoul: Cheongwoon; 2009.
  3. Yoo J, Lee B. Prediction model of osteoporosis using nutritional components based on association. The Journal of Convergence on Culture Technology. 2020;6(3):457-62. https://doi.org/10.17703/JCCT.2020.6.3.457
  4. Lee K, Yoon C, Lee J. Comparison of body weight and body mass index as predictors for osteoporosis among postmenopausal Korean women. Journal of the Korean Academy of Family Medicine. 2005;26(10):609-13.
  5. Kim K. A study on model of skin type judgment tool using machine learning technique. A Treatise on The Plastic Media. 2018;21(4):115-21.
  6. Jang J, Lee M, Lee T. Development of T2DM prediction model using RNN. Journal of Digital Convergence. 2019;17(8):249-55. https://doi.org/10.14400/JDC.2019.17.8.249
  7. Kwon C. Python machine learning complete guide. Gyeonggi: Wikibooks; 2019.
  8. Geron A. Hands-on machine learning with scikit-learn & tensorflow. Seoul: Hanbit Media Inc; 2016.
  9. Han J, Ko D, Choe H. Predicting and analyzing factors affecting financial stress of household using machine learning: Application of XGBoost. Journal of Consumer Studies. 2019;30(2):21-43. https://doi.org/10.35736/jcs.30.2.2
  10. Lee S, Jang S, Jung D, Lee J. Reconsideration of the mechanical loading hypothesis: Is obesity protective against osteoporosis? Journal of the Korean Official Statistics. 2014;19(2):1-29.
  11. Baek K, Kang M. Official positions of the international society for clinical densitometry. Endocrinology and Metabolism. 2005;20(1):1-7.
  12. Kim D. New guidelines for the diagnosis and fracture risk assessment of osteoporosis. Journal of Bone Metabolism. 2008;15(1):1-8.
  13. Kim K. Factors associated with the bone mineral density in Korean adults: Data from the 2010-2011 Korean National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (KNHANES) V. Journal of Agricultural Medicine & Community Health. 2014;39(4):240-55. https://doi.org/10.5393/JAMCH.2014.39.4.240
  14. Choi J, Han S, Shin A, Shin C, Park S, Cho S, et al. Prevalence and risk factors of osteoporosis and osteopenia in Korean women: Cross-sectional study. Journal of Menopausal Medicine. 2008;14(1):35-49.
  15. Lee H, Lee S, Cho J, Cho I. Analysis of feature importance of ship's berthing velocity using classification algorithms of machine learning. Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety. 2020;26(2):139-48. https://doi.org/10.7837/kosomes.2020.26.2.139
  16. Lee B. Prediction model of hypercholesterolemia using body fat mass based on machine learning. The Journal of Convergence on Culture Technology. 2019;5(4):413-20.
  17. Hong C, Won C. Parameter estimation for the imbalanced credit scoring data using AUC maximization. The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics. 2016; 29(2):309-19. https://doi.org/10.5351/KJAS.2016.29.2.309
  18. Park J, Choi M, Lee S, Choi Y, Park Y. The association between bone mineral density, bone turnover markers, and nutrient intake in pre- and postmenopausal women. Journal of Nutrition and Health. 2011;44(1):29-40. https://doi.org/10.4163/kjn.2011.44.1.29
  19. Kim J, Yang Y, Lee M. The influence of osteoporosis knowledge, health belief and self efficacy on osteoporosis prevention behavior osteoporosis in middle-aged men. Korean Public Health Research. 2020;46(2):13-28. https://doi.org/10.22900/KPHR.2020.46.2.002
  20. Lee H, Rho J. Study on the osteoporosis knowledge, concern about osteoporosis factors, and health behavior to prevent osteoporosis of women in Jeonbuk area. Journal of Nutrition and Health. 2018;51(6);526-37. https://doi.org/10.4163/jnh.2018.51.6.526
  21. Kim T, Lee H, Chung S, Park H. Differentiation in the management of osteoporosis between premenopausal and menopausal women. Journal of Menopausal Medicine. 2011;17(1):21-6.
  22. Song T, Choi H, Lee S, Yeon M, Ko J, Lee C, et al. Performance of risk indices for prediction of osteoporosis in post- and perimenopausal women. Obstetrics & Gynecology Science. 2005;48(11):2627-34.
  23. Lee J, Kim E, Suk M, Kim E, Hwang L. Factors influencing osteoporosis. Korean Academy of Community Health Nursing. 2003;14(2):253-62.
  24. Choi P, Min I. A predictive model for the employment of college graduates using a machine learning approach. Journal of Vocational Education & Training. 2018;21(1):31-54. https://doi.org/10.36907/KRIVET.2018.21.1.31
  25. Lee G, Lee J. A classification of medical and advertising blogs using machine learning. Journal of Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society. 2018;19(11):730-7. https://doi.org/10.5762/KAIS.2018.19.11.730
  26. Eom J, Lee S, Kim B. A feasibility study on the improvement of diagnostic accuracy for energy-selective digital mammography using machine learning. Journal of Radiological Science and Technology. 2019;42(1):9-17. https://doi.org/10.17946/JRST.2019.42.1.9
  27. Kim I, Lee K. Tree based ensemble model for developing and evaluating automated valuation models: The case of Seoul residential apartment. Journal of the Korean Data And Information Science Society. 2020;31(2):375-89. https://doi.org/10.7465/jkdi.2020.31.2.375