Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology (한국농림기상학회지)

Korean Society of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology (한국농림기상학회)
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Influence of El Niño on the Production of Highland Kimchi Cabbage in South Korea

국내 고랭지배추 생산량에 대한 엘니뇨 영향

  • Shim, Kyo-Moon (National Institute of Agricultural Sciences, RDA) ;
  • Kim, Yongseok (National Institute of Agricultural Sciences, RDA) ;
  • Hur, Jina (National Institute of Agricultural Sciences, RDA) ;
  • Jo, Sera (National Institute of Agricultural Sciences, RDA) ;
  • Kang, Kee-Kyung (National Institute of Agricultural Sciences, RDA)
  • Received : 2020.01.16
  • Accepted : 2020.12.14
  • Published : 2020.12.30
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Abstract

The objective of this study was to assess the impact of El Niño on highland kimchi cabbage production for the period from 1991-2016 in South Korea. Years with less than 1.0 Oceanic Niño index (ONI) were classified into non El Niño years, while years with equal to or greater than 1.0 ONI were defined as El Niño years. The national average production (3,444 kg 10a-1) of high kimchi cabbage in El Niño years tended to be less than that in non El Niño years (3,722 kg 10a-1) with significant differences (p = 0.0042) in the production between these groups of years. The averaged production of highland kimchi cabbage of El Niño end years (3,289 kg 10a-1) was less than those of El Niño start years and non El Niño years by 310 and 433 kg 10a-1, respectively. Such difference was significant statistically (p=0.035). According to our analysis, the differences in kimchi cabbage productions resulted from low temperature, short sunshine duration, and precipitation increase during the cultivation period of highland kimchi cabbage. This study may help for further analysis on the impact of extreme weather conditions during El Niño years on crop production.

본 논문에서는 1991년 이후 중간 강도 이상의 엘니뇨가 발생한 해의 고랭지배추의 단위면적당 생산량의 변화를 비교 분석하였다. 엘니뇨가 발생한 해 (n=12)의 고랭지배추의 전국 평균 생산량 (3,444±384kg 10a-1)은 미 발생한 해 (n=14)의 생산량 (3,722±277kg 10a-1)보다 적었으며, 통계적으로도 유의하였다 (t=2.140, p=0.042). 또한, 엘니뇨가 종료한 해의 고랭지배추의 전국 평균 생산량은 엘니뇨가 시작한 해와 엘니뇨가 미 발생한 해보다 낮은 경향을 보였고, 이 또한 통계적으로 유의한 것으로 분석되었다(df=2, f=3.874, p=0.035). 이것은 고랭지 배추 재배기간의 저온, 일조부족, 강수량 증가 현상이 1차적 원인으로 사료되나, 앞으로 엘니뇨 발생에 따른 악기상 등 각종 농업환경 변화와 고랭지배추의 생산성의 관계 등 추가 연구가 필요하다.

Keywords

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