디지털융복합연구 (Journal of Digital Convergence)

  • 제18권12호
  • /
  • Pages.195-204
  • /
  • 2020
  • /
  • 2713-6434(pISSN)
  • /
  • 2713-6442(eISSN)
한국디지털정책학회 (The Society of Digital Policy and Management)
권호 표지
DOI QR코드

DOI QR Code

수출중량과 관제탑관제량, 내항화물입항, 수출화물수송 그리고 선박출항과의 동조화현상

Synchronization Phenomenon between Export Weight & Control Volume, Inland Cargo, Export Cargo, Ship Departure

  • 김신중 (대진대학교 경영학과) ;
  • 최수호 (동양미래대학교 경영학부)
  • 투고 : 2020.09.18
  • 심사 : 2020.12.20
  • 발행 : 2020.12.28
PDF 다운로드
⟨ 이전 논문 다음 논문 ⟩

초록

본 연구에서 목적은 수출중량과 관제량, 내항화물입항, 수출화물수송, 선박출항과의 관계를 분석하는데 있다. 통계청 국가통계포털에서 지난 2011년 1월부터 2020년 5월까지 총 113개 월간자료를 검색하여 사용하였다. 본 연구에서는 전년 동월대비 변동률을 이용하여 수치분석과 지표분석, 모형분석을 수행하였다. 상승률 동향에서 관제량은 2020년도 초부터 코로나19의 영향으로 150%에서 60%대로 급락하였고 동시에 수출중량과 수출화물수송도 동반 하락하는 모습을 보여주었다. 분석결과 수출중량은 수출화물수송 및 관제량과 상대적으로 동조화현상이 높게 나타난 반면 수출중량과 내항화물은 상대적으로 낮게 나타났다. 수출중량이 지난 2019년 이후 변동률이 감소하면서 2020년 이후 더 이어질 것으로 예상된다. 향후 관제량이나 수출화물수송의 반등시점을 찾을 수 있다면 수출중량의 상승시점을 예상해 볼 수 있을 것이다. 가능한 빠른 시간 내에 수출중량의 증가세가 나타나기를 기대해 본다.

The purpose of this study is to look for the relationship between export weight and control volume, inland cargo, export cargo transport, ship departure. The analysis period were used for a total of 113 monthly data from January 2011 to May 2020. Data were retrieved from the Korean Statistical Information Service of the Statistics Korea. The data used in this study were performed numerical analysis, index analysis and model analysis using the rate of change from the same month of the previous year. In the trend of the increase rate, the amount of control has plummeted from 150% to 60% due to the influence of Corona 19 in the beginning of 2020. At the same time, export weight and export cargo transport also decreased. As a result of the analysis, export weight showed relatively high synchronization with export cargo transport and control volume. On the other hand, export weight and inland cargo showed relatively low synchronization. Export weight is expected to continue in 2020 after the fluctuation rate began to decrease after 2019. If we can find the point of rebound in control volume or export cargo transport in the future, we can predict the point of increase in export weight. We expect to see an increase in export weight as soon as possible.

키워드

참고문헌

  1. H. T. Oh (2020), Even the national policy KDI this year -1.1%, it hurts, but negative growth has become reality", KBS NEWS Crab, 2020.09.08. http://mn.kbs.co.kr/news/view.do?ncd=4534669
  2. S. M. Kim (2020), Gochujang sold on fire, increased exports to Corona Special, JoongAng News Society, 2020.09.01. http://www.ejanews.co.kr/news/articleView.html?idxno=219662
  3. B. R. Kim (2020), Even in Corona19, K-beauty exports grew by double digits, New Daily Economy Fashion Beauty, 2020.09.07. http://biz.newdaily.co.kr/site/data/html/2020/09/07/2020090700062.html
  4. Economic story, Export trends and characteristics by industry in May, Economic and investment records, 2020.06.01. https://for-economicfreedom.tistory.com/138
  5. H. N. Kim, G. S. Lee (2014), A Study on Efficiency of Operation of Air Traffic Control Tower and Reduction of Operation Cost, Aviation Management Society of Korea, 2014 Fall Academic Papers, 2014, 406-409.
  6. J. S. Park, J. G. Lee, H. W. Shin & J. H. Lim (2014), Gimpo International Airport International Flight Traffic Survey, Aviation Management Society of Korea, 2014 Fall Academic Papers, 2014, 219-236.
  7. S. Kim, S. H. Park, T. H. Yang & G. T. Yeo (2019), A Study on the Analysis of Management Characteristics of Coastal Port Freight Transportation Business Using Panel Regression Analysis, Journal of Digital Convergence, 17(3), 79-92. https://doi.org/10.14400/JDC.2019.17.3.079
  8. H. T. Kim (2020), A Study on the Effect Analysis of Korean Coastal Cargo-Ship and enhancing Profitability, Korea Maritime University Doctoral Dissertation.
  9. Y. A. Park (2007), A Study on Statistical Improvement for Financial Statement Analysis of the Coastal Cargo Transport, Journal of Shipping and Logistics, 54, 51-71.
  10. G. P. Kim, C, G. No (2010), The management analysis of coastal cargo shipping companies, Journal of Shipping and Logistics, 26(1), 37-62. https://doi.org/10.37059/TJOSAL.2010.26.1.37
  11. J. Y. Lee, E. J. Lee (2016), A Study on the Modal Choice Pattern based on the Unit Weight Value of Export Freights, Korea Logistics Review, 26(1), 39-49.
  12. Y. G. Cho, G. G. Lee, G. S. Gwak & G. C. Nam (2009), An Analysis of LCL Export Freight by Transportation Mode in Busan Area, Journal of Korean Navigation and Port Research, 33(6), 409-414. https://doi.org/10.5394/KINPR.2009.33.6.409
  13. J. Y. Lee, J. S. Ahn (2007), Classification of Regional Export Freight Generation based on Geovisual Analytics Periodical, Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies, 15(3), 311-322.
  14. U. G. Lee, J. S. Baek & J. S. Jang (2010), Analyze the Logistics Pattern of Regional and Port Export Freight Generation between Korea and the United States, Journal of Shipping and Logistics, 26(1), 63-86. https://doi.org/10.37059/tjosal.2010.26.1.63
  15. M. C. Kim (2019), On utilizing PLS-SEM based IPM method - Focused on export competitiveness factor, Journal of Digital Convergence, 17(7), 43-47. https://doi.org/10.14400/JDC.2019.17.7.043
  16. S. H. Yoon, Y. J, Kim (2015), The Comparative Analysis on the Service Quality of Airlines for Shanghai Cargo Route Using IPA Method, Journal of Korea Research Association of International Commerce, 15(4), 79-109.
  17. S. R. Yoo, J. Y. Jung (2018), "An Empirical Study to Improve Vessel Departure Control Regulations for Restricted Visibility, Focused on Pyeongtaek Port", Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety, 24(7), 858-862. https://doi.org/10.7837/kosomes.2018.24.7.858
  18. C. H. Jung, G. Y. Gong (2008), Evaluation of Seakeeping Performance for Regulation of Vessel Traffic Control, Journal of Korean Navigation and Port Research, 32(10), 785-791. https://doi.org/10.5394/KINPR.2008.32.10.785
  19. I. R. Park (2016), An analysis on container throughput of Korean sea port using bayesian regression model : focusing on export/import and transshipment cargoes, Korea University Doctoral Dissertation.
  20. Y. H. Ryu, K. G. Park, H. Y. Kim (2014), A Study on the Advancement Structure Model of Maritime Safety Information System(GICOMS) using FSM, Journal of Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems, 24(3), 337-343. https://doi.org/10.5391/JKIIS.2014.24.3.337
  21. S. H. Choi, J. I. Choi (2018), Comparative Analysis of the Exports BL Number by Domestic and major Economic Region, Eurasia Research, 15(1), 63-79.
  22. J. I. Choi (2020), Synchronization Phenomenon of Imports & Exports Trade Volume, Imports & Exports Amount, Trade Balance of ICT, Journal of convergence for information technology, 10(5), 92-100. https://doi.org/10.22156/CS4SMB.2020.10.05.092
  23. M. J. Shin (2019), The Effect of Changes in the Composition of Export Items on the Changes in Characteristics of Air Transport Utilization, Bukyong University Doctoral Dissertation.
  24. T. W. Noh (2018), The Effect of External Knowledge Search on Innovation Speed: Focusing on the Moderation Effect of Export Performance, Journal of Digital Convergence, 16(2), 93-102. https://doi.org/10.14400/JDC.2018.16.2.093
  25. S. H. Choi & J. I. Choi (2017), Growth Rate and Volatility of Exports by Continent & Future Growth Potential Analysis, The Journal of the Korea Contents Association, 17(11), 192-199. https://doi.org/10.5392/JKCA.2017.17.11.192
  26. S. H. Choi & J. I. Choi (2018), A Comparative Analysis of Korea's Export and Import Trends to Vietnam, Journal of Digital Convergence, 16(7), 177-187. https://doi.org/10.14400/JDC.2018.16.7.177
  27. S. H. Choi & J. I. Choi (2017), Analysis of Volatility and Directionality of Korean Imports and Exports : Focused on USA, Japan, China, UK Journal of Digital Convergence, 15(10), 113-121.
  28. Korea Customs Service : www.customs.go.kr