대기 (Atmosphere)

  • 제30권4호
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  • Pages.377-390
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  • 2020
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  • 1598-3560(pISSN)
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  • 2288-3266(eISSN)
한국기상학회 (Korean Meteorological Society)
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한반도 대기정체의 특성 및 지역기후모델 HadGEM3-RA를 이용한 미래 전망

Characteristics of Air Stagnation over the Korean Peninsula and Projection Using Regional Climate Model of HadGEM3-RA

  • 김도현 (국립기상과학원 미래기반연구부) ;
  • 김진욱 (국립기상과학원 미래기반연구부) ;
  • 김태준 (국립기상과학원 미래기반연구부) ;
  • 변재영 (국립기상과학원 미래기반연구부) ;
  • 김진원 (국립기상과학원 미래기반연구부) ;
  • 권상훈 (국립기상과학원 미래기반연구부) ;
  • 김연희 (국립기상과학원 미래기반연구부)
  • Kim, Do-Hyun (Innovative Meteorological Research Department, National Institute of Meteorological Sciences) ;
  • Kim, Jin-Uk (Innovative Meteorological Research Department, National Institute of Meteorological Sciences) ;
  • Kim, Tae-Jun (Innovative Meteorological Research Department, National Institute of Meteorological Sciences) ;
  • Byon, Jae-Young (Innovative Meteorological Research Department, National Institute of Meteorological Sciences) ;
  • Kim, Jin-Won (Innovative Meteorological Research Department, National Institute of Meteorological Sciences) ;
  • Kwon, Sang-Hoon (Innovative Meteorological Research Department, National Institute of Meteorological Sciences) ;
  • Kim, Yeon-Hee (Innovative Meteorological Research Department, National Institute of Meteorological Sciences)
  • 투고 : 2020.08.19
  • 심사 : 2020.10.14
  • 발행 : 2020.12.31
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초록

Not only emissions, but also atmospheric circulation is a key factor that affects local particulate matters (PM) concentrations in Korea through ventilation effects and transboundary transports. As part of the atmospheric circulation, air stagnation especially adversely affects local air quality due to weak ventilation. This study investigates the large-scale circulation related to air stagnation over Korea during winter and projects the climate change impacts on atmospheric patterns, using observed PM data, reanalysis and regional climate projections from HadGEM3-RA with Modified Korea Particulate matter Index. Results show that the stagnation affects the PM concentration, accompanied by pressure ridge at upper troposphere and weaken zonal pressure gradient at lower troposphere. Downscaling using HadGEM3-RA is found to yield Added-Value in the simulated low tropospheric winds. For projection of future stagnation, SSP5-8.5 and SSP1-2.6 (high and low emission) scenarios are used here. It has been found that the stagnation condition occurs more frequently by 11% under SSP5-8.5 and by 5% under SSP1-2.6 than in present-day climate and is most affected by changes in surface wind speed. The increase in the stagnation conditions is related to anticyclonic circulation anomaly at upper troposphere and weaken meridional pressure gradient at lower troposphere. Considering that the present East Asian winter monsoon is mainly affected by change in zonal pressure gradient, it is worth paying attention to this change in the meridional gradient. Our results suggest that future warming condition increase the frequency of air stagnation over Korea during winter with response of atmospheric circulation and its nonlinearity.

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