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A Study on Null Hypothesis and Alternative Hypothesis, Reduction to Absurdity and Application of Bayesian Statistics in Korean Medicine Otolaryngology

임상연구방법론에서 귀무가설과 대립가설, 귀류법에 대한 고찰과 한방이비인후과에서 베이지안 통계학의 활용

  • Nam, Seung-Pyo (Pusan National University School of Korean Medicine) ;
  • Bae, Jae-Min (Pusan National University School of Korean Medicine) ;
  • Kwon, Kang (Dep. of Korean Medicine Ophthalmology & Otolaryngology & Dermatology, Pusan National University School of Korean Medicine)
  • 남승표 (부산대학교 한의학전문대학원) ;
  • 배재민 (부산대학교 한의학전문대학원) ;
  • 권강 (부산대학교 한의학전문대학원 안이비인후피부과)
  • Received : 2019.10.23
  • Accepted : 2019.11.05
  • Published : 2019.11.25

Abstract

Background : The current medical statistics used in clinical research are the results of Fisher's significance test and the Neyman-Pearson hypothesis test, which were combined by psychologists. Also, in the philosophical background, it is related to Popper's falsificationism based hypothesis-deductive method and reduction to absurdity. Objectives : This study was designed to find complementary and alternative methods of null hypothesis and alternative hypothesis used for the clinical research methodology of Korean medicine otolaryngology. Methods : The body of this paper was divided into seven part. These are historical background, hypothesis test, hypothesis test method used in the design of clinical study, falsificationism and reduction to absurdity, problem and alternative method of the Neyman-Pearson hypothesis test, diagnosis example of sinusitis differentiation syndromes by Bayesian statistics. Through this process, we found out problems of frequentist statistics and suggested alternative methods. Result & Conclusion : As a solution to the problems of the null hypothesis and the alternative hypothesis, there are effects size, confidence interval, Bayesian statistics and Lakatos methodology of scientific research programmes.

Keywords

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