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Forestry Profitability in Korea with Evaluating Stumpage Prices

입목가 평가를 통한 임업의 수익성 분석

  • Min, Kyungtaek (Department of Agriculture, Food and Forestry Policy Research, Korea Rural Economic Institute)
  • 민경택 (한국농촌경제연구원 농림산업정책연구본부)
  • Received : 2019.04.23
  • Accepted : 2019.06.20
  • Published : 2019.09.30

Abstract

We analyzed the profitability of Korea's forestry by evaluating stumpage prices of the main economic tree species. Stumpage prices are evaluated with a market value formula, subtracting logging and transporting costs from market prices of logs. If trees are sold at the current cutting age, the stumpage price of larch is about 4.5 million KRW per hectare and that of Korean pine is about 3.7 million KRW per hectare. The stumpage prices do not cover reforestation cost, which is about 6.1 million KRW per hectare. If government subsidies did not support the cost of reforestation and silviculture, there would be no profits at all. The cost of forestry is very high in terms of planting and silviculture. In the future, the prices of logs are not predicted to rise and the wages for labor are not predicted to fall. Without reforming the current forestry regime, Korean forestry is, thus, not sustainable. Therefore, low-cost forestry efforts like natural regeneration should be adopted to make forestry viable. Investments in forestry infrastructure like forest roads are also required to decrease the timber logging and transporting costs.

표준적인 산림 조건을 가정하여 주요 경제수종의 기준 벌기령 입목가를 평가하여 임업의 수익성을 분석하였다. 벌기령의 입목가는 원목가격에서 벌목 운반비를 빼는 시장가역산법으로 평가하였다. 일본잎갈나무의 경우 기준 벌기령(30년)에서 입목가는 약 450만원/ha, 잣나무의 경우 기준 벌기령(50년)에서 입목가는 약 370만원/ha로 산정되었다. 이는 수확후 재조림비용 606만원 이하에 머물러 보조금이 뒷받침되지 않으면 갱신으로 이어지지 않는다. 육림비용을 포함하면 그 차이는 더욱 커진다. 장래에도 목재가격은 상승하지 않을 것이고 인건비는 상승할 것이므로 임업의 수익성은 더욱 악화될 것이다. 현재의 고비용 임업방식을 개선하지 않으면 지속가능한 산림경영을 실현하기 어렵고 공적 투자에 의존할 수밖에 없을 것이다. 따라서 임업의 비용을 절감하기 위해 천연갱신처럼 조림비용이 들지 않는 저비용 임업을 채용할 필요가 있다. 또, 임목수확의 비용절감을 위해 임도를 비롯한 임업 인프라에 투자해야 한다.

Keywords

References

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Cited by

  1. 임업·목재산업의 산업연관분석 vol.109, pp.4, 2019, https://doi.org/10.14578/jkfs.2020.109.4.521