Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society (한국산학기술학회논문지)

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Analysis of the Low-Carbon Economy of China on the Emissions of Carbon

탄소 배출량에 대한 중국 저탄소 경제의 분석

  • Chen, Si Jia (Department of Information Systems, Hanyang University) ;
  • Ahn, Jong-Chang (Department of Information Systems, Hanyang University)
  • 진사가 (한양대학교 정보스시템학과) ;
  • 안종창 (한양대학교 정보스시템학과)
  • Received : 2019.04.01
  • Accepted : 2019.07.05
  • Published : 2019.07.31
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Abstract

This study analyzes the factors affecting China's carbon emissions from 1985 to 2016. In recent years, the whole industries of China are in the midst of industrialization and have several problems. Now, the low-carbon economy has become the main task of China's economic development. This study analyzes the factors affecting China 's carbon emissions by selecting relevant data onto the Chinese yearbook and using a time series model. The analysis shows that related industries continue to innovate and increase the use of green energy such as electricity, but coal is still the largest share of the energy consumed. As energy use efficiency increases and industrial R&D investment increases year by year, carbon emissions are increasing every year. In addition, there is a stereotype that industry is the biggest factor affecting carbon emissions. The research found that the impact of the industry on China's carbon emissions is declining gradually. While controlling industrial carbon emissions, keeping continue to improve technology development and focusing on carbon emissions from other industries are critical to reduce overall carbon emissions. Based on the empirical results, if we can change stereotypes starting from the nature of the data, we will quickly reach a low carbon sustainable development economy.

본 연구는 중국이 저탄소 경제를 제안한 지 10 여년이 지난 1985년부터 2016년까지의 중국의 탄소 배출과 탄소 배출에 영향을 주는 요인에 대해 분석한다. 중국은 동 기간 동안 산업 발전이 빠르게 진행되었으며 탄소 배출과 관련된 여러 가지 문제가 나타났고, 이제 저탄소 경제가 중국 경제 발전의 주요 과제가 되었다. 본 연구는 저탄소 경제이론 및 산업계에 영향을 미치는 요인을 바탕으로 중국의 조사 연감에서 관련 데이터를 선택하였다. 시계열 모형을 사용하여 중국의 탄소 배출에 대한 영향요소를 분석하였다. 관련 산업의 혁신이 계속되면서 전기와 같은 그린에너지의 사용을 증가 시켰지만, 석탄은 여전히 소모된 에너지에서 가장 큰 비중을 차지하고 있다. 에너지 사용효율이 증가하고 산업연구 개발 투자 강도가 해마다 증가하였지만 탄소 배출도 매년 증가하고 있다. 탄소 배출에 영향을 미치는 가장 큰 요인은 산업이라는 고정관념이 있으나, 본 논문을 통해 중국의 탄소 배출에 대한 산업의 영향이 점차 감소하고 있음을 발견했다. 또한 공업에서의 탄소 배출을 통제하는 동시에 기술개발을 계속 향상시키고, 다른 업종의 탄소 배출도 중시해야 하는 것이 전체 탄소 배출을 감소시키기 위해 필수라는 점을 발견하였다. 실증연구 결과를 기반으로, 데이터의 본질부터 시작하여 고정관념을 바꿀 수 있다면 저탄소 지속발전 경제에 좀 더 빨리 도달하게 될 것이다.

Keywords

Table 1. Meaning of EC's Calculation formula

SHGSCZ_2019_v20n7_528_t0001.png 이미지

Table 2. Representation Symbol and Expected relevance

SHGSCZ_2019_v20n7_528_t0002.png 이미지

Table 3. Stationarity Test Result

SHGSCZ_2019_v20n7_528_t0003.png 이미지

Table 4. Descriptive Statistics Result

SHGSCZ_2019_v20n7_528_t0004.png 이미지

Table 6. Analysis Results of Time Series_2

SHGSCZ_2019_v20n7_528_t0005.png 이미지

Table 7. Coefficient and Expected Relevance

SHGSCZ_2019_v20n7_528_t0006.png 이미지

Table 5. Analysis Results of Time Series_1

SHGSCZ_2019_v20n7_528_t0007.png 이미지

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