DOI QR코드

DOI QR Code

The Impact of Macroeconomic Variables on the Profitability of Korean Ocean-Going Shipping Companies

  • Kim, Myoung-Hee (Division of Shipping Management, Korea Maritime and Ocean University) ;
  • Lee, Ki-Hwan (Division of Shipping Management, Korea Maritime and Ocean University)
  • 투고 : 2019.04.01
  • 심사 : 2019.04.25
  • 발행 : 2019.04.30

초록

The objective of this study was to establish whether global macroeconomic indicators affect the profitability of Korean shipping companies by using panel regression analysis. OROA (operating return on assets) and ROA (ratio of net profit to assets) were selected as proxy variables for profitability. OROA and ROA were used as dependent variables. The world GDP growth rate, interest rate, exchange rate, stock index, bunker price, freight, demand and supply of the world shipping market were set as independent variables. The size of the firm was added to the control variable. For small-sized firms, OROA was not affect by macroeconomic indicators. However, ROA was affected by variables such as interest rates, bunker prices, and size of firms. For medium-sized firms, OROA was affected by demand, supply, GDP, freight, and asset variables. However, macroeconomic indicators did not affect ROA. For large-sized firms, freight, GDP, and stock index (SCI; Shanghai Composite Index) have an effect on OROA. ROA was analyzed to be influenced by bunker price and SCI.

키워드

Table 2 Summary of variables

GHMHD9_2019_v43n2_134_t0002.png 이미지

Table 3 Summary of quantile variables for grouping

GHMHD9_2019_v43n2_134_t0003.png 이미지

Table 4 Regression result for quantile 1 of asset (less than 35.15 billion won)

GHMHD9_2019_v43n2_134_t0004.png 이미지

Table 5 Regression result for quantile 2 of asset (68.07-440.3 billion won)

GHMHD9_2019_v43n2_134_t0005.png 이미지

Table 1 Macroeconomic variables of the literature review

GHMHD9_2019_v43n2_134_t0012.png 이미지

Table 6 Regression result for quantile 3 of asset (68.07-440.3 billion won)

GHMHD9_2019_v43n2_134_t0013.png 이미지

Table 7 Regression result for quantile 4 of asset (over 440.3 billion won)

GHMHD9_2019_v43n2_134_t0014.png 이미지

Table 8 Regression result for quantile 1 of sales (less than 26.8 billion won)

GHMHD9_2019_v43n2_134_t0015.png 이미지

Table 9 Regression result for quantile 2 of sales (26.8-86.2 billion won)

GHMHD9_2019_v43n2_134_t0016.png 이미지

Table 10 Regression result for quantile 3 of sales (86.2-234.7 billion won)

GHMHD9_2019_v43n2_134_t0017.png 이미지

Table 11 Regression result for quantile 4 of sales (over 234.7 billion won)

GHMHD9_2019_v43n2_134_t0018.png 이미지

참고문헌

  1. Ahn, Y. G., Kim, J. H. and Lee, M. K.(2017), "The Estimation of Elasticity of Maritime Transport Demand Using Co-Integration Test", Korea logistic review, Vol. 2, No. 6, pp. 211-219.
  2. Drobetz, W., Schilling, D. and Tegtmeier, L.(2010), "Common risk factors in the returns of shipping stocks", Maritime Policy & Management, Vol. 37, No. 2, pp. 93-120. https://doi.org/10.1080/03088830903533726
  3. El-Masry, A. A., Olugbode, M. and Pointon, J.(2010), "The exposure of shipping firms' stock returns to financial risks and oil prices: a global perspective", Maritime Policy & Management, Vol. 37, No. 5, pp. 453-473. https://doi.org/10.1080/03088839.2010.503713
  4. Han, C. H.(2004), "China Effect in the Tanker Shipping Market", Ocean&Fisheries(Monthly Report), Vol. 232, pp. 26-35.
  5. Kim, C. B.(2013), "Dynamic Causality among International Financial Variables, China Effect, and Shipping Business Cycle after the Global Financial Crisis", The Journal of shipping and logistics, Vol. 78, pp. 575-588.
  6. Lee, S. Y.(2015), "The Relationship between Working Capital Management and Profitability : evidence from Korean Shipping Industry", Journal of navigation and port research, Vol. 39, No. 3, pp. 261-266. https://doi.org/10.5394/KINPR.2015.39.3.261
  7. Lim, J. K.(2004), "China Effect in the Shipping Market", Ocean&Fisheries(Monthly Report), Vol. 232, pp. 6-7.
  8. Lozinskaia, A., Merikas, A., Merika, A. and Penikas, H.(2017), "Determinants of the probability of default : the case of the internationally listed shipping corporations", Maritime Policy & Management, Vol. 44, No. 7, pp. 837-858. https://doi.org/10.1080/03088839.2017.1345018
  9. Lu, F. and Li, Y.(2009), "The China factor in recent global commodity price and shipping freight volatilities", China Economic Journal,Vol. 2, No. 3, pp. 351-377. https://doi.org/10.1080/17538960903552891
  10. Mo, S. W.(2006), "China Effect in the Dry Bulk Shipping Market", The Journal of shipping and logistics, Vol. 49, pp. 1-19.
  11. Nam, H. J. and An, Y. H.(2017), "Default Risk and Firm Value of Shipping & Logistics Firms in Korea", The Asian Journal of Shipping and Logistics, Vol. 33, No. 2, pp. 61-65. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ajsl.2017.06.003
  12. Park, H. G. and An, K. M.(2002), "A Study on the Determinant and the Stabilization Scheme of Liner Freight Rates", Shipping and Studies : Theory and Practice, Spring, pp. 47-82.
  13. Shin, S. S.(2004), "China Effect in the Dry Bulk Shipping Market", Ocean&Fisheries(Monthly Report), Vol. 232, pp. 18-25.
  14. Yang, H. J., Lee, K. H. and Kim, M. H.(2015), "An Empirical Study of the Impact of Exchange Rate Fluctuation on Profitability of Korean Ocean-Going Shipping Companies", The journal of Shipping and Logistics, Vol. 31, No. 2, pp. 407-425. https://doi.org/10.37059/TJOSAL.2015.31.2.407
  15. Yin, H., Chen, Z. and Xiao, Y.(2019), "Risk perception affecting the performance of shipping companies: the moderating effect of China and Korea", Maritime Policy & Management, Vol. 46, No. 3, pp. 295-308. https://doi.org/10.1080/03088839.2018.1540890