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Development and Analysis of System Dynamics Model for Predicting on the Effect of Patient Transfer Counseling with Nurses

간호사의 전원상담 효과 예측을 위한 시스템다이내믹스 모델 개발 및 분석

  • Byun, Hye Min (College of Nursing Science, Kyung Hee University) ;
  • Yun, Eun Kyoung (College of Nursing Science.East-West Nursing Research Institute, Kyung Hee University)
  • 변혜민 (경희대학교 간호과학대학) ;
  • 윤은경 (경희대학교 간호과학대학.동서간호학연구소)
  • Received : 2018.04.02
  • Accepted : 2018.09.11
  • Published : 2018.10.31

Abstract

Purpose: This study aimed to construct a management model for patient transfer in a multilevel healthcare system and to predict the effect of counseling with nurses on the patient transfer process. Methods: Data were collected from the electronic medical records of 20,400 patients using the referral system in a tertiary hospital in Seoul from May 2015 to April 2017. The data were analyzed using system dynamics methodology. Results: The rates of patients who were referred to a tertiary hospital, continued treatment, and were terminated treatment at a tertiary hospital were affected by the management fee and nursing staffing in a referral center that provided patient transfer counseling. Nursing staffing in a referral center had direct influence on the range of increase or decrease in the rates, whereas the management fee had direct influence on time. They were nonlinear relations that converged the value within a certain period. Conclusion: The management fee and nursing staffing in a referral center affect patient transfer counseling, and can improve the patient transfer process. Our findings suggest that nurses play an important role in ensuring smooth transitions between clinics and hospitals.

Keywords

References

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