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Estimation of Willingness-to-pay for Rehabilitation and Upgrading of Reservoirs in Protecting Against Natural Disasters and Dam-Break

재해·재난 예방을 위한 저수지개보수사업의 지불의사금액 추정

  • Park, Sung Kyung (Department of Food and Resource Economics, Pusan National University) ;
  • Lim, Cheong Ryong (Department of Community Development, Rural Research Institute) ;
  • Han, Jae Hwan (Department of Agricultural Economics, Sunchon National University) ;
  • Chung, Won Ho (Department of Food and Resource Economics, Pusan National University)
  • 박성경 (부산대학교 식품자원경제학과) ;
  • 임청룡 (농어촌연구원) ;
  • 한재환 (순천대학교 농업경제학과) ;
  • 정원호 (부산대학교 식품자원경제학과)
  • Received : 2018.08.22
  • Accepted : 2018.10.22
  • Published : 2018.12.31

Abstract

This study analyzes the economic effect of rehabilitation and upgrading of reservoirs as a prevented method against natural disasters under recent abnormal weather conditions and dam-break. For the analysis, we divide the purpose of rehabilitation and upgrading of reservoirs into the stable supply of rural water under uncertain weather conditions and the prevention of collapse due to the aging of the reservoir. We measure the economic effect of rehabilitation and upgrading of reservoirs by estimating the resident's willingness-to-pay for the project through Contingent Valuation Method(CVM). The result shows that distributions of willingness-to-pay to prevent natural disasters and dam-break are similar to each other. About 66% of the residents in sample regions are willing to pay for the project. The resident's willingness-to-pay to protect natural disasters and dam-break are 32,250 to 46,147 won and 28,427 to 47,308 won respectively on average for all sample regions. The comparison of willingness-to-pay by type of regions shows that paddy field areas are the highest followed by facility cultivation areas and urban areas. In addition, total expected value of the projects calculated based on the resident's willingness-to-pay for paddy field areas and facility cultivation areas are much larger than actual project costs. This implies that rural residents are fully aware of the importance of the project to prevent natural disasters and dam-break and are willing to pay for additional costs if needed.

본 논문은 최근 이상기후에 따른 재해 재난대비수단으로 유용하게 활용되고 있는 저수지의 개보수사업에 대한 경제적 효과를 계량적으로 분석한다. 이를 위해 저수지개보수사업의 목적을 자연재해에 대비한 안정적인 농업용수 공급과 시설노후에 따른 붕괴예방으로 나누어 그 효과를 각각 측정한다. 저수지 개보수사업에 대한 효과 측정은 저수지 일대에 거주하고 있는 주민들을 대상으로 개보수사업에 대한 지불의사와 금액을 가상가치평가법(CVM)을 이용하여 추정한다. 분석 결과, 자연재해와 재난 예방 관련 지불의사금액의 분포는 유사하게 나타났다. 표본 지역 주민들의 66%가 개보수사업에 지불할 의향이 있다고 응답하였다. 전체 표본에 대한 자연재해 예방 관련 지불의사금액은 주민 평균 32,250~46,147원이고, 재난 예방 관련 지불의사금액은 28,427~47,308원으로 나타났다. 지역유형별로 지불의사금액을 비교해 보면 논 농업 지역, 시설재배 지역, 도시 지역 순으로 높게 나타났다. 한편, 주민별 지불의사금액에 기초하여 각 지역의 저수지개보수사업에 대한 총 기대가치를 산출한 결과 논 농업 지역과 시설재배 지역의 총 기대가치는 실제 사업비 규모에 비해 상당히 높게 나타났다. 이는 주민들이 자연재해 및 재난 예방을 위한 저수지개보수사업의 중요성을 충분히 인지하고 있으며 현재 사업비가 충분치 않을 경우 추가적인 비용을 부담할 용의가 있음을 시사한다.

Keywords

Acknowledgement

Grant : 수리시설개보수사업 만족도 조사 및 수요조사.분석

Supported by : 농어촌연구원

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