기후변화 시나리오 자료의 불확실성 고려를 위한 대표 GCM 선정기법 개발

  • 정임국 (APEC기후센터 기후사업본부) ;
  • 음형일 ;
  • 이은정 (APEC기후센터 기후사업본부) ;
  • 박지훈 (APEC기후센터 기후사업본부) ;
  • 조재필 (APEC기후센터 기후사업본부 / 서비스개발팀)
  • 발행 : 2018.08.31

초록

키워드

참고문헌

  1. 음형일, 신선희, 김옥연, 이은정, 이효진 (2016) 수자원의 기후변화 전망 활용을 위한 기후모델의 성능평가 및 상세화 연구동향 분석. CCAW기술 보고서
  2. 조재필, 박지훈, 이은정, 정임국 (2017) 수자원의 기후변화전망 활용을 위한 AR5 기후모델의 성능평가 및 상세 기후 및 수문 시나리오 생산기술 개발. CCAW 기술보고서
  3. Abatzoglou, J.T., and Brown, T.J. (2012). "A comparison of statistical downscaling methods suited for wildfire applications." International Journal of Climatology, Vol. 32, No. 5, 772-780. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.2312
  4. Cannon, A.J., Sobie, S.R., and Murdock, T.Q. (2015). "Bias Correction of GCM Precipitation by Quantile Mapping: How Well Do Methods Preserve Changes in Quantiles and Extremes?" Journal of Climate, Vol. 28, 6938-6959. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00754.1
  5. Eum, H.-I., and A.J. Cannon, 2016. Intercomparision of projected changes in climate extremes for south Korea: application of trend preserving statistical downscaling methods to the CMIP5 Ensemble. International Journal of Climatology 37(8): 3381-3397. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.4924
  6. Eum, H.-I., A. J. Cannon, T. Q. Murdock, 2016. Intercomparison of multiple statistical downscaling methods: multi-criteria model selection for south Korea. Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment 31(3): 683-703.
  7. Hayhoe, K. A., 2010. A standardized framework for evaluating the skill of regional climate downscaling techniques. Ph.D. diss., Champaign, Illinois: University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign.
  8. Hwang, S., K. Yoon, C. L., 1981. Multiple attribute decision making: Methods and applications. New York; Springer-Verlag.
  9. Wood, A.W., Leung, L.R., Sridhar, V., and Lettenmaier, D.P. (2004) "Hydrologic implications of dynamical and statistical approaches to downscaling climate model outputs." Climatic Change, Vol. 62, 189-216. https://doi.org/10.1023/B:CLIM.0000013685.99609.9e
  10. Zhang, X., L. Alexander, G. C. Hegerl, P. Jones, A. K. Tank, T. C. Peterson, B. Trewin, and F. W. Zwiers, 2011. Indices for monitoring changes in extremes based on daily temperature and precipitation data. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change 2(6): 851-870. https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.147