DOI QR코드

DOI QR Code

Developing a Model for Predicting Success of Machine Learning based Health Consulting

머신러닝 기반 건강컨설팅 성공여부 예측모형 개발

  • Received : 2017.05.29
  • Accepted : 2018.03.28
  • Published : 2018.03.31

Abstract

This study developed a prediction model using machine learning technology and predicted the success of health consulting by using life log data generated through u-Health service. The model index of the Random Forest model was the highest using. As a result of analyzing the Random Forest model, blood pressure was the most influential factor in the success or failure of metabolic syndrome in the subjects of u-Health service, followed by triglycerides, body weight, blood sugar, high cholesterol, and medication appear. muscular, basal metabolic rate and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol were increased; waist circumference, Blood sugar and triglyceride were decreased. Further, biometrics and health behavior improved. After nine months of u-health services, the number of subjects with four or more factors for metabolic syndrome decreased by 28.6%; 3.7% of regular drinkers stopped drinking; 23.2% of subjects who rarely exercised began to exercise twice a week or more; and 20.0% of smokers stopped smoking. If the predictive model developed in this study is linked with CBR, it can be used as case study data of CBR with high probability of success in the prediction model to improve the compliance of the subject and to improve the qualitative effect of counseling for the improvement of the metabolic syndrome.

Keywords

References

  1. Ahring, K.K., J.P. Ahring, C. Joyce, and N.R. Farid, "Telephone Modem Access Improves Diabetes Control in those with Insulin-requiring Diabetes", Diabetes Care, Vol.15, No. 8, 1992, 971-975. https://doi.org/10.2337/diacare.15.8.971
  2. Benhamou, P.Y., V. Melki, R. Boizel, F. Perreal, J.L. Quesada, S. Bessieres-Lacombe, J.L. Bosson, S. Halimi, and H. Hanaire, "One-year Efficacy and Safety of Web-based Follow-up Using Cellular Phone n Type Diabetic Patients under Insulin Pump Therapy : The PumpNet Study", Diabetes Metab, Vol.33, No.3, 2007, 220-226. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.diabet.2007.01.002
  3. Bergmo, T.S., "Can Economic Evaluation in Telemedicine be Trusted? A Systematic Review of the Literature", Cost Effectiveness and Resource Allocation, Vol.7, No.1, 2009, 7-18. doi : 10.1186/1478-7547-7-18(Downloaded October 18, 2017).
  4. Breiman, L., "Random Forest", Machine Learning, Vol.45, No.1, 2001, 5-32. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1010933404324
  5. Brendreyen, H. and P. Kraft, "Happy Ending : A Randomized Controlled Trial of A Digital Multimedia Smoking Cessation Intervention", Addiction, Vol.103, No.3, 2008, 478-484. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1360-0443.2007.02119.x
  6. Cho, J.H., H.S. Kwon, and K.H. Yoon, "Perspectives of 'Ubiquitous Health Care System' for Diabetes Management", Journal Korean Diabetes Assoc, Vol.30, No.2, 2006, 87-95. https://doi.org/10.4093/jkda.2006.30.2.87
  7. Cortes, C. and V. Vapnic, "Support-vector Networks", Machine Learning, Vol.20, No.3, 1995, 273-297. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00994018
  8. David, M., "Support Vector Machines", FH Technikum Wien, Austria, 2017, 1-8. Available at https://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/e10 71/vignettes/svmdoc.pdf (Accessed October 18. 2017).
  9. DeMaio, J., L. Schwartz, P. Cooley, and A. Tice, "The Application of Telemedicine Technology to A Directly Observed Therapy Program for Tuberculosis : A Pilot Project", Clinical Infectious Diseases, Vol.33, No.12, 2001, 2082- 2084. https://doi.org/10.1086/324506
  10. Jin, J.H. and M.A. Oh, "Data Analysis of Hospitalization of Patients with Automobile Insurance and Health Insurance : A Report on the Patient Survey", Journal of the Korea Data Analysis Society, Vol.15, No.5, 2013, 2457- 2471. (진재현, 오미애, "환자조사 자료를 이용한 자동차보험과 건강보험 환자의 재원일수 분석", 한국자료분 석학회, 제15권, 제5호, 2013, 2457-2471.)
  11. Kim, H.S. and M.S. Song, "Technological Intervention for Obese Patients with Type 2 Diabetes", Applied Nursing Research, Vol.21, No.2, 2008, 84-89. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apnr.2007.01.007
  12. Kim, S.I. and H.S. Kim, "Effectiveness of Mobile and Internet Intervention in Patients with Obese Type 2 Diabetes", International Journal of Medical Informatics, Vol.77, No.6, 2008, 399-404. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijmedinf.2007.07.006
  13. Kim, K.H., M.O. Lee, J.G. Lee, and S.W. Ryu, "Compliance of Hypertensive Patients Registered in Primary Health Care Posts Implementing the Gangwon Telemedicine Service System", Journal of Health Informatics and Statistics, Vol.33, No.2, 2008, 59-76. (김경희, 이명옥, 이재국, 류시원, "원격관리시스템을 활용한 보건진료소에 등록된 고혈압 환자의 치료 순응도", 한국보건정보통계학회지, 제33권, 제2 호, 2008, 59-76.)
  14. Koh, D. and H. Cho, "Analysis on the Demand for Ubiquitous Healthcare Service : Focusing on Home-based Telemedicine and Telehealth management Services", Journal of Information Technology Service, Vol.10, No.3, 2011, 265-284. (고대영, 조현승, "유헬스 서비스 수요분석 : 댁내기반 원격의료․건강관리서비스를 중심으로", 한국IT 서비스학회지, 제10권, 제3호, 2011, 265-284.)
  15. Kolodner, J.L., "An Introduction to Case-Based Reasoning", Artificial Intelligence Review, Vol.6, No.1, 1992, 3-34. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00155578
  16. Lee, H.J., "A Study on Classifications of Useful Customer Reviews by Applying Text Mining Approach", Journal of Information Technology Service, Vol.14, No.4, 2015, 159-169. (이홍주, "텍스트 마이닝을 활용한 고객 리뷰의 유용성 지수 개선에 관한 연구", 한국IT서비스학회지, 제14권, 제4호, 2015, 159-169.)
  17. Marquez, C.E., M. de la Figuera von Wichmann, V. Gil Guillen, A. Ylla-Catala, M. Figueras, M. Balana, and J. Naval, "Effectiveness of an Intervention to Provide Information to Patients with Hypertension as short Text Messages and Reminders Sent to their Mobile Phone(HTAAlert)", Atencion Primaria, Vol. 34, No.8, 2004, 399-405. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0212-6567(04)78922-2
  18. Minsky, M. and S. Papert, "Perceptrons", MIT Press, Cambridge, 1969.
  19. Ministry of Commerce and Industry, Ministry of Health and Welfare, "Healthcare New Market Creation Strategy", 2013. (산업통상자원부, 보건복지부, "헬스케어 신시장 창출 전략", 2013.)
  20. OSP and KITECH, "Future Wellness Industry Trend Analysis and Development Plan", 2012 (지식경제 R&D 전략기획단, 한국생산기술연구원, "미래형 웰니스산업 동향분석 및 발전방안", 2012.)
  21. Ostojic, V., B. Cvoriscec, S.B. Ostojic, D. Reznikoff, A. Stipic-Markovic, and Z. Tudjman, "Improving Asthma Control through Telemedicine: A Study of Short-message Service", Telemedicine Journal & E-Health, Vol.11, No.1, 2005, 28-35. https://doi.org/10.1089/tmj.2005.11.28
  22. Park, M.J., H.S. Kim, and K.S. Kim, "Cellular Phone and Internetbased Individual Intervention on Blood Pressure and Obesity in Obese Patients with Hypertension", International Journal of Medical Informatics, Vol. 78, No.10, 2009, 704-710. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijmedinf.2009.06.004
  23. Park, S.B., K.R. Chung, S.Y. Kim, and S.H. Lee, "Development of Wellness Mentor Support System based on CBR", Korea Contents Association, Spring General Conference, 2013, 389- 390. (박성빈, 정경렬, 김사엽, 이상호, "CBR 기반의 웰니스멘토지원시스템 개발", 한국콘텐츠학회, 2013 춘계종합학술대회, 2013, 389-390.)
  24. Rumelhart, D.E., G.E. Hinton, and R.J. Williams, "Learning Representations by Back-propagating Errors", Nature, 1986, 533-536.
  25. Sacco, W.P., A.D. Morrison, and J.I. Malone, "A Brief, Regular, Proactive Telephone 'Coaching' Intervention for Diabetes : Rationale, Description, and Preliminary Results", Journal of Diabetes Complications, Vol.18, No.2, 2004, 113-118. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1056-8727(02)00254-4
  26. Vahatalo, M.A., H.E. Virtamo, J.S. Viikari, and T. Ronnemaa, "Cellular Phone Transferred Self Blood Glucose Monitoring : Prerequisites for Positive Outcome", Practical Diabetes, Vol. 21, No.5, 2004, 192-194. https://doi.org/10.1002/pdi.642
  27. Wekipedia, "Wekipedia", 2017, Available at https://ko.wikipedia.org/wiki/%EA%B8%B0%EA% B3%84_%ED%95%99%EC%8A%B5(Accessed May 24. 2017).