Journal of Digital Convergence (디지털융복합연구)

The Society of Digital Policy and Management (한국디지털정책학회)
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Analysis of Volatility and Directionality of Korean Imports and Exports : Focused on USA, Japan, China, UK

우리나라 수입액과 수출액의 변동성과 방향성 분석 : 미국, 일본, 중국, 영국을 중심으로

  • Received : 2017.07.25
  • Accepted : 2017.10.20
  • Published : 2017.10.28
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Abstract

Korea is a country that needs trade. Because it lacks natural resources but has excellent skills and manpower. Trade balance means 'profit from the process of buying and selling various goods and services in many abroad countries'. If the export amount of Korea is more than the import amount, it is called the trade surplus. The purpose of this study is to find trends and future directions of exports and imports over the last 210 months for the US, China, Japan, United Kingdom which have large trade with Korea, Since 2000, China's exports have grown more than 800%. However, in the case of the US and Japan, there is a steady increase rate of around 200% without any major change. In order for Korea to increase exports for the surplus of trade balance, it seems that the increase in exports to the US and Japan as well as the increase in exports to China are more important. Since the rate of growth has been declining slightly due to the decline in exports of auto makers to China since 2014, we need a strategy to prepare for this.

우리나라는 천연 자원이 부족하지만 우수한 기술과 인력을 가지고 있어 무역이 필요한 나라이다. 무역수지는 '해외 여러 나라와 다양한 상품과 서비스를 사고파는 과정에서 발생하는 차익'을 의미한다. 우리나라의 수출액이 수입액 보다 더 많으면 무역수지 흑자라 부른다. 본 연구의 목적은 우리나라와 무역 규모가 많은 미국, 중국, 일본, 영국을 대상으로 지난 210개월 동안 수출액과 수입액의 동향과 향후 방향성을 찾아보고자 한다. 지난 2000년도 이후 중국의 수출 증가율이 800%를 넘으며 가장 크게 증가하였으나 미국과 일본의 경우는 큰 변화 없이 200% 전후로 꾸준한 증가율을 보여주고 있다. 향후 우리나라가 무역수지 흑자를 위해 수출액을 증가시키기 위해서는 미국이나 일본과의 수출액 증가는 물론이고 중국과의 수출액 증가가 매우 중요해 보인다. 지난 2014년 이후 대중국 자동차완성업체의 수출액 감소로 인해 상승률이 소폭감소세를 보이고 있어 이에 대비하는 수출 전략이 필요해 보인다.

Keywords

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