한국환경과학회지 (Journal of Environmental Science International)

  • 제26권5호
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  • Pages.549-561
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  • 2017
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  • 1225-4517(pISSN)
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  • 2287-3503(eISSN)
한국환경과학회 (The Korean Environmental Sciences Society)
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금강 유역에서의 기후변화에 대한 유출 영향 분석

Impact of Climate Change on Runoff Analysis in the Geum River Basin

  • 안정민 (국립환경과학원 낙동강물환경연구소) ;
  • 정강영 (국립환경과학원 낙동강물환경연구소) ;
  • 김경훈 (국립환경과학원 낙동강물환경연구소) ;
  • 권헌각 (국립환경과학원 낙동강물환경연구소) ;
  • 양득석 (국립환경과학원 낙동강물환경연구소) ;
  • 신동석 (국립환경과학원 낙동강물환경연구소)
  • Ahn, Jung-Min (Nakdong River Environment Research Center, National Institute of Environmental Research) ;
  • Jung, Kang-Young (Nakdong River Environment Research Center, National Institute of Environmental Research) ;
  • Kim, Gyeonghoon (Nakdong River Environment Research Center, National Institute of Environmental Research) ;
  • Kwon, Heongak (Nakdong River Environment Research Center, National Institute of Environmental Research) ;
  • Yang, Duk-Seok (Nakdong River Environment Research Center, National Institute of Environmental Research) ;
  • Shin, Dongseok (Nakdong River Environment Research Center, National Institute of Environmental Research)
  • 투고 : 2017.01.17
  • 심사 : 2017.03.07
  • 발행 : 2017.05.31
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초록

Recently IPCC (International Panel on Climate Change, 2007) pointed out that global warming is a certain ongoing process on the earth, due to which water resources management is becoming one of the most difficult tasks with the frequent occurrences of extreme floods and droughts. In this study we made runoff predictions for several control points in the Geum River by using the watershed runoff model, SSARR (Streamflow Synthesis and Reservoir Regulation Model), with daily RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenarios for 100 year from 1st Jan 2006 to 31st Dec 2100 at the resolution of 1 km given by Climate Change Information Center. As a result of, the Geum River Basin is predicted to be a constant flow increases, and it showed a variation in the water circulation system. Thus, it was found that the different seasonality occurred.

키워드

참고문헌

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