Earthquakes and Structures

  • 제13권4호
  • /
  • Pages.421-427
  • /
  • 2017
  • /
  • 2092-7614(pISSN)
  • /
  • 2092-7622(eISSN)
테크노프레스 (Techno-Press)
권호 표지
DOI QR코드

DOI QR Code

Seismic probabilistic risk assessment of weir structures considering the earthquake hazard in the Korean Peninsula

  • Alam, Jahangir (Civil and Environmental Engineering, Kunsan National University) ;
  • Kim, Dookie (Civil and Environmental Engineering, Kunsan National University) ;
  • Choi, Byounghan (Rural Research Institute)
  • 투고 : 2017.07.08
  • 심사 : 2017.12.23
  • 발행 : 2017.10.25
⟨ 이전 논문 다음 논문 ⟩

초록

Seismic safety evaluation of weir structure is significant considering the catastrophic economical consequence of operational disruption. In recent years, the seismic probabilistic risk assessment (SPRA) has been issued as a key area of research for the hydraulic system to mitigate and manage the risk. The aim of this paper is to assess the seismic probabilistic risk of weir structures employing the seismic hazard and the structural fragility in Korea. At the first stage, probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) approach is performed to extract the hazard curve at the weir site using the seismic and geological data. Thereafter, the seismic fragility that defines the probability of structural collapse is evaluated by using the incremental dynamic analysis (IDA) method in accordance with the four different design limit states as failure identification criteria. Consequently, by combining the seismic hazard and fragility results, the seismic risk curves are developed that contain helpful information for risk management of hydraulic structures. The tensile stress of the mass concrete is found to be more vulnerable than other design criteria. The hazard deaggregation illustrates that moderate size and far source earthquakes are the most likely scenario for the site. In addition, the annual loss curves for two different hazard source models corresponding to design limit states are extracted.

키워드

과제정보

연구 과제 주관 기관 : Ministry of Public Safety and Security of Korean government

참고문헌

  1. Alam, J., Kim, D. and Choi, B. (2017), "Uncertainty reduction of fragility curve of intake tower using bayesian inference and markov chain monte carlo simulation", Struct. Eng. Mech., 63(1), 47-53. https://doi.org/10.12989/SEM.2017.63.1.047
  2. Ali, M., Alam, M., Haque, M. and Alam, M. (2012), "Comparison of design and analysis of concrete gravity dam", Nat. Res., 3(1), 18-28.
  3. Ang, A.H.S. and Tang, W.H. (2006), Probability Concepts in Engineering, John Wiley & Sons, New York, U.S.A.
  4. Arefian, A., Noorzad, A., Ghaemian, M. and Hosseini, A. (2016), "Seismic evaluation of cemented material dams-a case study of Tobetsu dam in Japan", Earthq. Struct., 10(3), 717-733. https://doi.org/10.12989/eas.2016.10.3.717
  5. Baker, J.W. (2013), Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis, White Paper Version 2.0.1.
  6. Baker, J.W. (2015), "Efficient analytical fragility function fitting using dynamic structural analysis", Earthq. Spectr., 31(1), 579-599. https://doi.org/10.1193/021113EQS025M
  7. Brabhaharan, P., Davey, R., O'Riley, F. and Wiles, L. (2005), Earthquake Risk Assessment Study Part 1-Review of Risk Assessment Methodologies and Development of a Draft Risk Assessment Methodology for Christchurch, Report No. U04/108: Final, Wellington, New Zealand.
  8. Bradley, B.A. and Dhakal, R.P. (2008), "Error estimation of closed-form solution for annual rate of structural collapse", Earthq. Eng. Struct. Dyn., 37(15), 1721-1737. https://doi.org/10.1002/eqe.833
  9. Choi, I.K., Nakajima, M., Choun, Y.S. and Ohtori, Y. (2009), "Development of the site-specific uniform hazard spectra for Korean nuclear power plant sites", Nucl. Eng. Des., 239, 790-799. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.nucengdes.2008.12.026
  10. Choi, I.K., Nakajima, M., Choun, Y.S. and Ohtori, Y. (2005), Evaluation of the Current Seismic Zone of Korea Based on the Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis, KNS Spring Meeting.
  11. Cornell, C.A., Banon, H. and Shakal, A.F. (1979), "Seismic motion and response prediction alternatives", Earthq. Eng. Struct. Dyn., 7, 295-315. https://doi.org/10.1002/eqe.4290070402
  12. CRIEPI (2006), Korea-Japan Joint Research on Development of Seismic Capacity Evaluation and Enhancement Technology Considering Near-fault Effect (Final Report), KAERI/RR-2688/2006.
  13. Farzampour, A. and Kamali-Asl, A. (2015), "Seismic hazard assessment for two cities in Eastern Iran", Earthq. Struct., 8(3), 681-697. https://doi.org/10.12989/eas.2015.8.3.681
  14. FEMA (2001), Earthquake Loss Estimation Methodology, HAZUS99, Service Release 2, Technical Manual, Federal Emergency Management Agency, Washington, U.S.A.
  15. Garcia-Mayordomo, J. and Insua-Arevalo, J.M. (2011), "Seismic hazard analysis for the Itoiz dam site (Western Pyrenees, Spain)", Soil Dyn. Earthq. Eng., 31, 1051-1063. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.soildyn.2011.03.011
  16. Gautam, D. (2017), "On seismic vulnerability of highway bridges in Nepal: 1988 Udaypur earthquake (MW 6.8) revisited", Soil Dyn. Earthq. Eng., 99, 168-171. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.soildyn.2017.05.014
  17. Gautam, D., Forte, G. and Rodrigues, H. (2016), "Site effects and associated structural damage analysis in Kathmandu valley, Nepal", Earthq. Struct., 10(5), 1013-1032. https://doi.org/10.12989/eas.2016.10.5.1013
  18. Gutenberg, B. and Richter, C.F. (1944), "Frequency of earthquakes in California", Bullet. Seismol. Soc. Am., 34(4), 1985-1988.
  19. Hariri-Ardebili, M.A. and Saouma, V.E. (2016), "Seismic fragility assessment of concrete dams: A state-of-the-art review", Eng. Struct., 128, 374-399. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.engstruct.2016.09.034
  20. Ibarra, L.F. and Krawinkler, H. (2005), Global Collapse of Frame Structures under Seismic Excitations, Report No. 152, John A. Blume Earthquake Engineering Center, Stanford, California, U.S.A.
  21. Ju, B.S. and Jung, W.Y. (2015), "Evaluation of seismic fragility of weir structures in South Korea", Math. Probl. Eng., 2015, 1-10.
  22. Kalantari, A. (2012), "Seismic risk of structures and the economic issues of earthquakes", Earthq. Eng.
  23. Karaca, M.A. and Küçükarslan, S. (2012), "Analysis of dam-reservoir interaction by using homotopy analysis method", KSCE J. Civil Eng., 16(1), 103-106. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12205-012-0870-8
  24. Kircher, C.A., Nassar, A.A., Kustu, O. and Holmes, W.T. (1997), "Development of building damage functions for earthquake loss estimation", Earthq. Spectr., 13(4), 663-682. https://doi.org/10.1193/1.1585974
  25. Kramer, S.L. (1996), Geotechnical Earthquake Engineering, Prentice Hall Inc., New Jersey, U.S.A.
  26. McGuire, R.K. (1976), FORTRAN Computer Program for Seismic Risk Analysis, US Geological Survey, Open-File Report 76, 67.
  27. McGuire, R.K. (1978), FRISK Seismic Risk Analysis Using Faults as Earthquake Source, US Geological Survey. Open-File Report 78, 1007.
  28. Noroozinejad Farsangi, E., Hashemi Rezvani, F., Talebi, M. and Hashemi, S.A.H. (2014), "Seismic risk analysis of steel-MRFs by means of fragility curves in high seismic zones", Adv. Struct. Eng., 17(9), 1227-1240. https://doi.org/10.1260/1369-4332.17.9.1227
  29. Pagni, C.A. and Lowes, L.N. (2006), "Fragility functions for older reinforced concrete beam-column joints", Earthq. Spectr., 22(1), 215-238. https://doi.org/10.1193/1.2163365
  30. Pitilakis, K.D., Anastasiadis, A.I., Kakderi, K.G., Manakou, M.V., Manou, D.K., Alexoudi, M.N., Fotopoulou, S.D., Argyroudis, S.A. and Senetakis, K.G. (2011), "Development of comprehensive earthquake loss scenarios for a Greek and a Turkish city: Seismic hazard, geotechnical and lifeline aspects", Earthq. Struct., 2(3), 207-232. https://doi.org/10.12989/eas.2011.2.3.207
  31. Porter, K. (2016), "A beginner's guide to fragility, vulnerability, and risk", Encyclop. Earthq. Eng., 1-29.
  32. Porter, K.A., Kennedy, R.P. and Bachman, R.E. (2006), Developing Fragility Functions for Building Components, Report to ATC-58, Applied Technology Council, Redwood City, California, U.S.A.
  33. Seo, J.M., Min, G.S., Choun Y.S. and Choi, I.K. (1999), Reduction of Uncertainties in Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis, KAERI/CR-65/99.
  34. Tadinada, S.K. (2012), "A Bayesian framework for probabilistic seismic fragility assessment of structure", Ph.D. Dissertation, North Carolina State University, North Carolina, U.S.A.
  35. Tekie, P.B. and Ellingwood, B.R. (2003), "Seismic fragility assessment of concrete gravity dams", Earthq. Eng. Struct. Dyn., 32, 2221-2240. https://doi.org/10.1002/eqe.325
  36. Vamvatsikos, D. and Cornell, C.A. (2002), "Incremental dynamic analysis", Earthq. Eng. Struct. Dyn., 31(3), 491-514. https://doi.org/10.1002/eqe.141
  37. Wang, J.P., Huang, D., Cheng, C.T., Shao, K.S., Wu, Y.C. and Chang, C.W. (2013), "Seismic hazard analyses for Taipei city including deaggregation, design spectra, and time history with excel applications", Comput. Geosci., 52, 146-154. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cageo.2012.09.021
  38. Zimmaro, P. and Stewart, J.P. (2017), "Site-specific seismic hazard analysis for Calabrian dam site using regionally customized seismic source and ground motion models", Soil Dyn. Earthq. Eng., 94, 179-192. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.soildyn.2017.01.014

피인용 문헌

  1. Assessment of seismic risk of a typical RC building for the 2016 Gyeongju and potential earthquakes vol.20, pp.3, 2017, https://doi.org/10.12989/eas.2021.20.3.337