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Analysis of the Relations between Design Errors Detected during BIM-based Design Validation and their Impacts Using Logistic Regression

로지스틱 회귀분석을 이용한 BIM 설계 검토에 의하여 발견된 설계 오류와 그 영향도간의 관계 분석

  • Won, Jong-Sung (School of Architecture, Korea National University of Transportation) ;
  • Kim, Jae-Yeo (School of Architecture, Korea National University of Transportation)
  • Received : 2017.07.10
  • Accepted : 2017.10.27
  • Published : 2017.12.20

Abstract

This paper analyzes the relations between design errors, prevented by building information modeling (BIM)-based design validation, and their impacts in order to identify critical consideration factors for implementing BIM-based design validation in architecture, engineering, and construction (AEC) projects. More than 800 design errors detected by BIM-based design validation in two BIM-based projects in South Korea are categorized according to their causes (illogical error, discrepancy, and missing item) and work types (structure, architecture, and mechanical, electrical, and plumbing (MEP)). The probabilistic relations among the independent variables, including the causes and work types of design errors, and the dependent variables, including the project delays, cost overruns, low quality, and rework generation that can be caused by these errors, are analyzed using logistic regression. The characteristics of each design error are analyzed by means of face-to-face interviews with practitioners. According to the results, the impacts of design error causes in predicting the probability values of project delays, cost overruns, low quality, and rework generation were statistically meaningful.

본 논문은 BIM 기반 설계 검토를 통하여 사전에 방지된 설계 오류와 그 영향도를 통계적으로 분석한다. 이를 위하여 한국에서 수행되었던 2개 BIM 프로젝트에서 BIM 기반 설계 검토를 도입함으로써 발견되었던 약 800여건 이상의 설계오류를 설계 오류 발생 원인별(비논리적 오류, 도면 상이, 누락), 발생 공종별(구조, 건축, 설비)로 분류한다. 시공 이전에 발견된 설계 오류로 인하여 발생할 수 있는 재작업과 공사비, 공사기간, 품질에의 영향 여부를 해당 현장의 실무자와의 인터뷰를 통해서 분류하고, 설계 오류와의 확률적 관계를 로지스틱 회귀분석을 이용하여 분석한다. 분석결과, 설계 오류 발생원인이 공사비 증가, 공기 지연, 품질 저하, 재작업을 유발 확률 예측에 통계적으로 가장 유의미한 관계가 있었다. 두 개의 프로젝트에서 수집된 자료만을 활용하여 설계 오류 간의 관계를 분석하였지만 설계 오류의 특성의 관계가 유사하다는 점에서 의미가 있다고 할 수 있다. 향후에는 다수의 프로젝트에서 수집된 자료를 분석하여 이를 검증하고자 한다.

Keywords

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