Earthquakes and Structures

  • 제11권5호
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  • Pages.861-871
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  • 2016
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  • 2092-7614(pISSN)
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  • 2092-7622(eISSN)
테크노프레스 (Techno-Press)
권호 표지
DOI QR코드

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On the origin of exponential growth in induced earthquakes in Groningen

  • van Putten, Maurice H.P.M. (Physics and Astronomy, Sejong University) ;
  • van Putten, Anton F.P. (AnMar Research Laboratories B.V.) ;
  • van Putten, Michael J.A.M. (Clinical Neurophysiology, Medisch Spectrum Twente and University of Twente)
  • 투고 : 2016.06.13
  • 심사 : 2016.10.19
  • 발행 : 2016.11.25
⟨ 이전 논문 다음 논문 ⟩

초록

The Groningen gas field shows exponential growth in earthquake event counts around a magnitude M1 with a doubling time of 6-9 years since 2001. This behavior is identified with dimensionless curvature in land subsidence, which has been evolving at a constant rate over the last few decades essentially uncorrelated to gas production. We demonstrate our mechanism by a tabletop crack formation experiment. The observed skewed distribution of event magnitudes is matched by that of maxima of event clusters with a normal distribution. It predicts about one event < M5 per day in 2025, pointing to increasing stress to human living conditions.

키워드

과제정보

연구 과제 주관 기관 : Korean National Research Foundation

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피인용 문헌

  1. Natural time and nowcasting induced seismicity at the Groningen gas field in the Netherlands vol.215, pp.2, 2018, https://doi.org/10.1093/gji/ggy315