Journal of the Korean Society for Railway (한국철도학회논문집)

The Korean Society for Railway (한국철도학회)
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Establishing the Methodology of Economic Analysis to Take into Account Opportunistic Valuation for a Radio Communication & Train Control System

철도무선신호제어시스템 실용화의 기회가치성을 고려한 경제성분석 체계 정립 -일반 및 고속철도용 무선 및 제어시스템 실용화 사례를 중심으로-

  • Cho, Shin-hyung (Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Seoul National University) ;
  • Seo, Young-hyun (Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Seoul National University) ;
  • Kho, Seung-young (Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Seoul National University) ;
  • Rhee, Sung-mo (Institute of Construction and Environmental Engineering, Seoul National University)
  • Received : 2016.04.07
  • Accepted : 2016.04.28
  • Published : 2016.06.30
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Abstract

Development of a train wireless signal control system using LTE-R technology is expected to have a great ripple effect to the existing signal control market. To make inroads into the international market, it is an urgent issue to practicalize the train wireless signal control system. Because it will require a huge budget to commercialize the wireless signal control system, it is necessary to analyze the feasibility beforehand, with a consideration of the domestic and foreign marketability and the impact on related industries. This study investigated the effect of the practicalization of train control system on future railway and national industrial sectors. We suggested the establishment of a framework for economic feasibility analysis, one that can provide criteria for opportunistic valuation. We also verified this framework through case analysis.

현재 우리가 선도하는 LTE-R 기술을 활용한 철도무선신호제어시스템 기술개발은 기존 신호시장에 미치는 파급효과가 상당할 것으로 예상되며 세계 철도신호시장의 선점을 위해 조속한 실용화사업이 절실한 시점이다. 철도무선신호제어시스템의 실용화사업에는 막대한 예산이 소요되기 때문에 그 가능성에 대해 막연한 기대를 갖고 접근하기 보다는 국내 외 시장성, 연관 산업의 파급효과 등을 고려하여 타당성 여부를 사전에 검토하여 사업추진을 면밀하게 분석해야 할 것으로 판단된다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 대상사업의 실용화가 장래 철도부문과 국가산업부문에 미치는 효과 등을 조사 및 분석하여 시장성 및 관련 산업에 미치는 영향을 기회가치성을 판단할 수 있는 경제적 타당성 분석체계의 틀을 정립하고 사례분석을 통해 검증하였다.

Keywords

References

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