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Network analysis of urban-to-rural migration

네트워크 모형을 이용한 귀농인구 이동 분석

  • Lee, Hyunsoo (Department of Statistics, Seoul National University) ;
  • Roh, Jaesun (Department of Agricultural Economics and Rural Development, Research Institute of Agriculture and Life Sciences, Seoul National University) ;
  • Jung, Jin Hwa (Department of Agricultural Economics and Rural Development, Research Institute of Agriculture and Life Sciences, Seoul National University) ;
  • Jang, Woncheol (Department of Statistics, Seoul National University)
  • 이현수 (서울대학교 통계학과) ;
  • 노재선 (서울대학교 농경제사회학부, 농업생명과학연구원) ;
  • 정진화 (서울대학교 농경제사회학부, 농업생명과학연구원) ;
  • 장원철 (서울대학교 통계학과)
  • Received : 2016.02.15
  • Accepted : 2016.03.30
  • Published : 2016.04.30

Abstract

Urban-to-rural migration for farming has recently emerged as a new way to vitalize rural economies in a fast-aging rural Korea. In this paper, we analyze the 2013 data of returning farmers with statistical network methods. We identify urban to rural migration hubs with centrality measures and find migration trends based on regional clusters with similar features via statistical network models. We also fit a latent distance model to investigate the role of distance in migration.

귀농인구의 증가는 빠르게 고령화되고 있는 한국농촌에서 경제 활성화의 단초로 주목받고 있다. 본 논문에서는 2013년 귀농귀촌인 통계를 바탕으로 네트워크 방법을 사용해 귀농인구의 이동에 대한 분석을 진행한다. 구체적으로 다양한 네트워크 중심도지표를 사용해 주요 귀농 거점지역을 파악하고 통계적 네트워크 모형을 사용해 귀농인구의 이동에 존재하는 경향을 살펴본다. 또한 latant distance model을 이용하여 거리가 귀농인구 이동에 미치는 영향에 대해 알아본다.

Keywords

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