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A Meta-analysis of the Timed Up and Go test for Predicting Falls

낙상 위험 선별검사 Timed Up and Go test의 예측 타당도 메타분석

  • Park, Seong-Hi (Department of Nursing, Soonchunhyang University) ;
  • Lee, On-Seok (Department of Medical IT Engineering, Soonchunhyang University)
  • 박성희 (순천향대학교 간호학과) ;
  • 이언석 (순천향대학교 의료IT공학과)
  • Received : 2016.11.12
  • Accepted : 2016.12.17
  • Published : 2016.12.31

Abstract

Purpose: Globally, falls are a major public health problem. The study aimed to evaluate the predictive validity of the Timed Up and Go test (TUGT) as a screening tool for fall risk. Methods: An electronic search was performed Medline, EMBASE, CINAHL, Cochran Library, KoreaMed and the National Digital Science Library and other databases, using the following keywords: 'fall', 'fall risk assessment', 'fall screening', 'mobility scale', and 'risk assessment tool'. The QUADAS-II was applied to assess the internal validity of the diagnostic studies. Thirteen studies were analyzed using meta-analysis with MetaDisc 1.4. Results: The selected 13 studies reporting predictive validity of TUGT of fall risks were meta-analyzed with a sample size of 1004 with high methodological quality. Overall predictive validity of TGUT was as follows. The pooled sensitivity 0.72 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.67-0.77), pooled specificity 0.58 (95% CI: 0.54-0.63) and sROC AUC was 0.75 respectively. Heterogeneity among studies was a moderate level in sensitivity. Conclusion: The TGUT's predictive validity for fall risk is at a moderate level. Although there is a limit to interpret the results for heterogeneity between the literature, TGUT is an appropriate tool to apply to all patients at a potential risk of accidental fall in a hospital or long-term care facility.

Keywords

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