International Journal of Aeronautical and Space Sciences

The Korean Society for Aeronautical and Space Sciences (한국항공우주학회)
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A Probabilistic based Systems Approach to Reliability Prediction of Solid Rocket Motors

  • Moon, Keun-Hwan (Dept., Aerospace & Mechanical Engrg., Korea Aerospace University) ;
  • Gang, Jin-Hyuk (Dept., Aerospace & Mechanical Engrg., Korea Aerospace University) ;
  • Kim, Dong-Seong (Dept., Aerospace & Mechanical Engrg., Korea Aerospace University) ;
  • Kim, Jin-Kon (School of Aerospace & Mechanical Engrg, Korea Aerospace University) ;
  • Choi, Joo-Ho (School of Aerospace & Mechanical Engrg, Korea Aerospace University)
  • Received : 2016.05.03
  • Accepted : 2016.11.21
  • Published : 2016.12.30
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Abstract

A probabilistic based systems approach is addressed in this study for the reliability prediction of solid rocket motors (SRM). To achieve this goal, quantitative Failure Modes, Effects and Criticality Analysis (FMECA) approach is employed to determine the reliability of components, which are integrated into the Fault Tree Analysis (FTA) to obtain the system reliability. The quantitative FMECA is implemented by burden and capability approach when they are available. Otherwise, the semi-quantitative FMECA is taken using the failure rate handbook. Among the many failure modes in the SRM, four most important problems are chosen to illustrate the burden and capability approach, which are the rupture, fracture of the case, and leak due to the jointed bolt and O-ring seal failure. Four algorithms are employed to determine the failure probability of these problems, and compared with those by the Monte Carlo Simulation as well as the commercial code NESSUS for verification. Overall, the study offers a comprehensive treatment of the reliability practice for the SRM development, and may be useful across the wide range of propulsion systems in the aerospace community.

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References

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