Fire Science and Engineering (한국화재소방학회논문지)

Korean Institute of Fire Science and Engineering (한국화재소방학회)
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Study of a Flood Vulnerability Assessment for Climate Change and Utilizing the Vulnerability-based Disaster Response in Jeju-do

기후변화에 따른 제주도의 홍수 취약성 평가 및 취약성 기반 소방 대응 활용 연구

  • Lim, Chae-Hyun (Dept. of Fire and Disaster Prevention, Jeju International University) ;
  • Park, Yong-Yi (Dept. of Fire and Disaster Prevention, Jeju International University)
  • 임채현 (제주국제대학교 소방방재학과) ;
  • 박용이 (제주국제대학교 소방방재학과)
  • Received : 2016.10.21
  • Accepted : 2016.11.18
  • Published : 2016.12.31
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Abstract

This study assessed the flood vulnerability of Jeju-do depending on climate change using VESTAP. The results showed that the flood vulnerability of Jeju-do in the future (2020s, 2030s and 2040s) will increase continuously compared to the present time (2010s). In particular, the flood vulnerability of Jeju-si is expected to be higher than Seogwipo-si prior to 2030s. Conversely, the flood vulnerability of Seogwipo-si is expected to be higher than Jeju-si after 2030. These analysis results confirmed the characteristics of flood vulnerability between Seogwipo-si and Jeju-si and the growth of flood vulnerability entirely within Jeju-do.

본 연구에서는 VESTAP을 활용하여 기후변화에 따른 제주도의 홍수 취약성을 평가하였다. 평가결과, 제주도 홍수 취약성은 현재(2010년대)보다 미래(2020년대, 2030년대, 2040년대)로 갈수록 지속적으로 증가하는 추세를 보였으며, 특히 2030년대를 기준으로 이전에는 제주시의 취약성이 서귀포시보다 높게 나타난 반면, 이후에는 서귀포시의 취약성이 제주시보다 높게 나타나 제주도 전반에 대한 취약성의 증대와 함께 지형 상 남북 간인 서귀포시와 제주시 간의 취약성 변화 특성을 확인할 수 있었다.

Keywords

References

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