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Life Cycle Analysis of Stem Cell Technology Based on Diffusion Model : Focused on the Research Stage

확산 모형을 이용한 줄기 세포 기술의 수명 주기 분석 : 연구 단계를 중심으로

  • Jang, In-young (The Graduate School of Public Policy and Information Technology, Seoul National University of Science and Technology) ;
  • Hong, Jungsik (Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering, Seoul National University of Science and Technology) ;
  • Kim, Taegu (Department of Industrial Management Engineering, Hanbat National University)
  • 장인영 (서울과학기술대학교 IT정책전문대학원) ;
  • 홍정식 (서울과학기술대학교 글로벌융합산업공학과) ;
  • 김태구 (한밭대학교 산업경영공학과)
  • Received : 2015.05.18
  • Accepted : 2015.08.21
  • Published : 2015.10.15

Abstract

Research on stem cells can be divided into three categories : pluripotent stem cell, adult stem cell, and induced pluripotent stem cell. Technology life cycle (TLC) on research stage is analyzed for the three stem cell categories based on diffusion model. Three diffusion models-logistic, Bass, and Bass model with integration constant (BMIC)-are applied to the number of articles related to each stem cell category in SCOPUS lists. Two different parameter estimation methods is used for each of logistic and Bass model. Results show that (1) the current year, 2015, lies in growth period at pluripotent stem cell and adult stem cell, and lies in growth period or maturity period at induced pluripotent stem cell. (2) Model fitness is the highest at BMIC model. (3) Imitation effect works best at the research area of induced pluripotent stem cell.

Keywords

References

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