Journal of the Korea Convergence Society (한국융합학회논문지)

Korea Convergence Society (한국융합학회)
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Convergent Momentum Strategy in the Korean Stock Market

한국 주식시장에서의 융합적 모멘텀 투자전략

  • Koh, Seunghee (Department of Business Administration, Sookmyung Women's University)
  • 고승의 (숙명여자대학교 경영학부)
  • Received : 2015.06.29
  • Accepted : 2015.08.20
  • Published : 2015.08.31
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Abstract

This study attempts to empirically investigate if relative momentum strategy is effective in the Korean stock market. The sample of the study is comprised of companies which are traded in both Kospi and Kosdaq stock markets in Korea for the period between 2001~2014. The study observes that the momentum strategy buying past winner stocks and selling past loser stocks is negatively correlated with the value strategy buying value stocks with high book to market ratio and selling glamour stocks with low book to market ratio. And each strategy is alternatively effective from period to period. The study demonstrates that the momentum strategy is effective when both strategies which are negatively correlated are treated as one system by estimating Fama and French's[1] 3 factor regression model.

본 연구는 한국 주식시장에서 가치투자 전략과 연계해 모멘텀 투자전략의 유효성을 분석하였다. 본 연구는 2001년~2014년 동안 한국 주식시장의 상장기업의 주가 및 재무자료를 실증 분석해, 과거 승자 주를 매수하고 패자 주를 매도하는 모멘텀 투자전략과 장부가/시가 비율이 높은 가치주를 매수하고 장부가/시가 비율이 낮은 글래머주를 매도하는 가치 투자전략의 유효성이 기간별로 서로 다르며, 전체 분석기간에 걸쳐 역(-)의 상관관계가 있음을 관찰하였다. 또한 Fama and French[1]가 개발한 3 요인 회귀분석 모형을 추정해, 모형의 절편이 유의적인 양(+)의 값으로 추정됨을 관찰함으로써, 역(-)의 상관관계로 인해 상호 대체관계에 있는 모멘텀 투자전략과 가치 투자전략을 하나의 시스템으로 분석할 때, 모멘텀 투자전략이 세계 주요 증권시장에서와 마찬가지로 한국 증권시장에서도 유효함을 분석하였다.

Keywords

References

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