DOI QR코드

DOI QR Code

On Numerical Computation of Pickands Constants

  • Choi, Hyemi (Department of Statistics (Institute of Applied Statistics), Chonbuk National University)
  • Received : 2015.01.29
  • Accepted : 2015.03.31
  • Published : 2015.05.31

Abstract

Pickands constant $H_{\alpha}$ appears in the classical result about tail probabilities of the extremes of Gaussian processes and there exist several different representations of Pickands constant. However, the exact value of $H_{\alpha}$ is unknown except for two special Gaussian processes. Significant effort has been made to find numerical approximations of $H_{\alpha}$. In this paper, we attempt to compute numerically $H_{\alpha}$ based on its representation derived by $H{\ddot{u}}sler$ (1999) and Albin and Choi (2010). Our estimates are compared with the often quoted conjecture $H_{\alpha}=1/{\Gamma}(1/{\alpha})$ for 0 < ${\alpha}$ ${\leq}$ 2. This conjecture does not seem compatible with our simulation result for 1 < ${\alpha}$ < 2, which is also recently observed by Dieker and Yakir (2014) who devised a reliable algorithm to estimate these constants along with a detailed error analysis.

Keywords

References

  1. Adler, R. J. (1990). An Introduction to Continuity, Extreme, and Related Topics for General Gaussian Processes, Institute of Mathematical Statistics, Hayward.
  2. Albin, J. M. P. and Choi, H. (2010). A new proof of an old result by Pickands, Electronic Communications in Probability, 15, 339-345. https://doi.org/10.1214/ECP.v15-1566
  3. Burnecki, K. and Michna, Z. (2002). Simulation of Pickands constants, Probability and Mathematical Statics, 22, 193-199.
  4. Craigmile, P. F. (2003). Simulating a class of stationary Gaussian processes using the Davies-Harte algorithm, with application to long memory processes, Journal of Time Series Analysis, 24, 505-511. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-9892.00318
  5. Davies, R. B. and Harte, D. S. (1987). Tests for Hurst effect, Biometrika, 14, 95-101.
  6. Debicki, K. (2006). Some properties of generalized Pickands constants, Theory of Probability and Its Applications, 50, 290-298. https://doi.org/10.1137/S0040585X97981755
  7. Dieker, A. B. and Yakir, B. (2014). On asymptotic constants in the theory of extremes for Gaussian processes, Bernoulli, 20, 1600-1619. https://doi.org/10.3150/13-BEJ534
  8. Harper, A. J. (2014). Pickands' constant H does not equal $1={\Gamma}(1={\alpha})$, for small $\alpha$, Available from: http://arxiv.org/pdf/1404.5505v1.pdf
  9. Husler, J. (1999). Extremes of a Gaussian process and the constant $H_{\alpha}$, Extremes, 2, 59-70.
  10. Leadbetter, M. R., Lindgren, G. and Rootzen, H. (1983). Extremes and Related Properties of Random Sequences and Processes, Springer, New York.
  11. Pickands, J. (1969). Asymptotic properties of the maximum in a stationary Gaussian process, Transactions of the American Mathematical Society, 145, 75-86.
  12. Qualls, C. and Watanabe, H. (1972). Asymptotic properties of Gaussian processes, Annals of Mathematical Statistics, 43, 580-596. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoms/1177692638
  13. Samoradnitsky, G. and Taqqu, M. S. (1994). Stable Non-Gaussian Random Processes, Chapman & Hall, New York.
  14. Shao, Q. (1996). Bounds and estimators of a basic constant in extreme value theory of Gaussian processes, Statistica Sinica, 6, 245-257.
  15. Wood, A. T. A. and Chan, G. (1994). Simulation of stationary Gaussian processes in $[0,\;1]^d$, Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics, 3, 409-432.