DOI QR코드

DOI QR Code

Statistical Model Analysis of Urban Spatial Structures and Greenhouse Gas (GHG) - Air Pollution (AP) Integrated Emissions in Seoul

서울시 도시공간구조와 온실가스-대기오염 통합 배출량의 통계모형분석

  • Jung, Jaehyung (Department of Environmental Energy Engineering, Seoul National University of Science and Technology) ;
  • Kwon, O-Yul (Department of Environmental Engineering, Seoul National University of Science and Technology)
  • 정재형 (서울과학기술대학교 에너지환경공학과) ;
  • 권오열 (서울과학기술대학교 환경공학과)
  • Received : 2014.12.04
  • Accepted : 2015.02.16
  • Published : 2015.03.30

Abstract

The relationship between urban spatial structures and GHG-AP integrated emissions was investigated by statistically analyzing those from 25 administrative districts of Seoul. Urban spatial structures, of which data were obtained from Seoul statistics yearbook, were classified into five categories of city development, residence, environment, traffic and economy. They were further classified into 10 components of local area, population, number of households, residential area, forest area, park area, registered vehicles, road area, number of businesses and total local taxes. GHG-AP integrated emissions were estimated based on IPCC(intergovernmental panel on climate change) 2006 guidelines, guideline for government greenhouse inventories, EPA AP-42(compilation of air pollutant emission factors) and preliminary studies. The result of statistical analysis indicated that GHG-AP integrated emissions were significantly correlated with urban spatial structures. The correlation analysis results showed that registered vehicles for GHG (r=0.803, p<0.01), forest area for AP (r=0.996, p<0.01), and park area for AP (r=0.889, p<0.01) were highly significant. From the factor analysis, three groups such as city and traffic categories, economy category and environment category were identified to be the governing factors controlling GHG-AP emissions. The multiple regression analysis also represented that the most influencing factors on GHG-AP emissions were categories of traffic and environment. 25 administrative districts of Seoul were clustered into six groups, of which each has similar characteristics of urban spatial structures and GHG-AP integrated emissions.

Keywords

References

  1. Ban, Y. U., Yoo, N. H., Lee, T. H., 2010, Forecasting carbon dioxide emission of a new city in accordance with land use patterns using electricity usage in a similar city : focusing on the Jungbu new city, Journal of the Korean Urban Geographical Society, 13(1), 49-60.
  2. EEA(European Environment Agency), 2013, EMEP/EEA emission inventory guidebook 2013.
  3. EPA(Environment Protection Agency), 1995, AP-42 (compilation of air pollutant emission factors).
  4. Hu, H. J., Barlow, T., Lee, Y. H., Cho, H. J., 2013, Developing a roadside air quality assessment metho-dology using Seoul air quality monitoring data, Seoul Studies, 14(2), 115-129.
  5. IPCC(Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change), 2007, Climate change 2007.
  6. IPCC(Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change), 2006, 2006 IPCC guideline for national greenhouse gas inventories.
  7. Jang, M. J., Cheol, S. Y., Sun, C. H., Kim, T. H., 2012, The analysis of relationship between urban size and $CO_2$ emissions considering urban characteristics, Journal of Korean Urban Management Association, 25(4), 57-87.
  8. Kim, I. H., Oh, K. S., Jung, S. H., 2011a, An analysis of relationship between carbon emission and urban spatial patterns, Journal of Korea Spatial Information Society, 19(1), 61-72.
  9. Kim, I. H., Oh, K. S., Jung, S. H., 2011b, Carbon emission model development using urban planning criteria-focusing on the case of Seoul, Journal of Korea Spatial Information Society, 19(6), 11-18.
  10. Kim, Y.-P., Yeo, M. J., 2013, The trend of the con-centrations of the criteria pollutants over Seoul, J. KOSAE., 29(4), 369-377. https://doi.org/10.5572/KOSAE.2013.29.4.369
  11. KEC(Korea Environment Corporation), 2012, Guidelines for local government greenhouse gas inventories (Ver. 3.0).
  12. NIER(National Institute of Environment Research), 2013, Assessment manual of national air pollutant emission inventory(III).
  13. NIER(National Institute of Environment Research), 2012, National air pollutants emission 2010.
  14. NIER(National Institute of Environment Research), 2010, Assessment manual of national air pollutant emission inventory(II).
  15. Seoul City, 2010-2011, Seoul statistical yearbook.
  16. SPSS(Statistical Package for Social Science), 2011, IBM SPSS statistics base 20, version 20.
  17. Statistics Korea, 2010, International statistics yearbook.