Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers (한국해안·해양공학회논문집)

Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers (한국해안·해양공학회)
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Change of Mean Sea Level due to Coastal Development and Climate Change in the Western Coast of Korean Peninsula

해안개발과 기후변화로 인한 서해 연안해역의 평균해수면 변화

  • Jung, Tae Sung (Department of Civil & Environmental Engineering, Hannam University)
  • 정태성 (한남대학교 건설시스템공학과)
  • Received : 2014.04.04
  • Accepted : 2014.05.26
  • Published : 2014.06.30
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Abstract

Change of mean sea level in the western coast of Korean peninsula was estimated with the observed tide data of the KHOA. The cause of the change was investigated. Mean sea levels in the western coast have been changed due to coastal development projects in the coastal zone. The estimated variations, which are significantly different regionally, vary from -6.8 cm in Incheon to 38 cm in Gunsan. The changing rate of mean sea level occurred by natural factors such as global warming varies from 1.1 mm/year in the north to 4.4 mm/year in the south of western coast of Korean peninsula. In Jeju, sea level rise and rise of sea temperature showed a close relationship. Water temperature rise of one degree increases mean sea level to 0.6 mm in Jeju. Rising rate of mean sea level has increased rapidly after the mid-1980s.

서해 연안해역과 제주에서 국립해양조사원이 관측한 기왕의 조위자료를 분석하여 평균해수면을 산출하고, 그 변화추세와 원인을 고찰하였다. 서해안에서 그 동안 진행된 대규모 해안개발사업이 평균해수면을 변화시켰다는 것을 확인할 수 있었으며, 그 영향을 추정하였다. 해안개발로 인한 평균해수면 변화는 지역에 따라 큰 차이를 보였으며, 인천항 1단계 개발로 6.8 cm가 하락한 것을 제외하고는 해안개발로 인해서 평균해수면이 대체로 상승하였으며, 금강하구둑 개발로 인해서 인접한 군산내항에서는 평균해수면이 38 cm가 상승하였다. 또한 해안개발로 인한 해수면 변화량을 보정한 평균해수면 자료를 회귀분석하여 해안개발 이외의 요인 즉 자연적 요인으로 인한 해수면 상승률을 추정하였다. 서해안에서 평균해수면은 지구온난화 등의 자연적인 요인으로 인하여 연평균 1.1~4.4 mm/year가 상승하였으며, 지역적으로 편차가 커서 남부해역에서는 크고, 북부해역에서는 작았다. 제주에서는 해수온도의 상승과 평균해수면 상승과 서로 밀접한 관계가 있어서 수온이 $1^{\circ}C$ 상승하면, 평균해수면은 약 6 mm가 상승하였다. 서해안에서 평균해수면은 대체로 1980년대 중반이전에 비해서 1980년대 중반이후에 급격하게 상승하는 경향을 보였다.

Keywords

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