DOI QR코드

DOI QR Code

Monitoring and Forecasting the Eyjafjallajökull Volcanic Ash using Combination of Satellite and Trajectory Analysis

인공위성 관측자료와 궤적분석을 이용한 Eyjafjallajökull 화산재 감시와 예측

  • Lee, Kwon Ho (Department of Geoinformatics Engineering, Kyungil University)
  • 이권호 (경일대학교 공간정보공학과)
  • Received : 2014.02.21
  • Accepted : 2014.03.25
  • Published : 2014.04.30

Abstract

A new technique, namely the combination of satellite and trajectory analysis (CSTA), for exploring the spatio-temporal distribution information of volcanic ash plume (VAP) from volcanic eruption. CSTA uses the satellite derived ash property data and a matching forward-trajectories, which can generate airmass history pattern for specific VAP. In detail, VAP properties such as ash mask, aerosol optical thickness at 11 ${\mu}m$ ($AOT_{11}$), ash layer height, and effective radius from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectro-radiometer (MODIS) satellite were retrieved, and used to estimate the possibility of the ash forecasting in local atmosphere near volcano. The use of CSTA for Iceland's Eyjafjallaj$\ddot{o}$kull volcano erupted in May 2010 reveals remarkable spatial coherence for some VAP source-transport pattern. The CSTA forecasted points of VAP are consistent with the area of MODIS retrieved VAP. The success rate of the 24 hour VAP forecast result was about 77.8% in this study. Finally, the use of CSTA could provide promising results for VAP monitoring and forecasting by satellite observation data and verification with long term measurement dataset.

Keywords

References

  1. Derimian, Y., O. Dubovik, D. Tanre, P. Goloub, T. Lapyonok, and A. Mortier (2012) Optical properties and radiative forcing of the Eyjafjallajökull volcanic ash layer observed over Lille, France, in 2010, J. Geophys. Res., 117, D00U25, doi:10.1029/2011JD016815.
  2. Draxler, R.R. and G.D. Rolph (2003) HYSPLIT (HYbrid Single- Particle Lagrangian Integrated Trajectory) Model access via NOAA ARL READY Website (http:// www.arl.noaa.gov/ready/hysplit4.html). NOAA Air Resources Laboratory, Silver Spring, MD.
  3. Ellrod, G.P., B.H. Connell, and D.W. Hillger (2003) Improved detection of airborne volcanic ash using multi-spectral infrared satellite data, J. Geophys. Res., 108(D12), doi:10.1029/2002JD002802.
  4. Francis, P.N., M.C. Cooke, and R.W. Saunders (2012) Retrieval of physical properties of volcanic ash using Meteosat: A case study from the 2010 Eyjafjallajull eruption, J. Geophys. Res., 117, D00U09, doi:10.1029/2011JD016788.
  5. Johnson, B., K. Turnbull, P. Brown, R. Burgess, J. Dorsey, A.J. Baran, H. Webster, J. Haywood, R. Cotton, Z. Ulanowski, E. Hesse, A. Woolley, and P. Rosenberg (2012) In situ observations of volcanic ash clouds from the FAAM aircraft during the eruption of Eyjafjallajokull in 2010, J. Geophys. Res., 117, D00U24. doi:10.1029/2011JD016760.
  6. Lee, K.H. (2012) Aerosol direct radiative forcing by three dimensional observations from passive- and activesatellite sensors, J. Korean Soc. Atmos. Environ., 28(2), 159-171, DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5572/KOSAE.2012.28.2.159. (in Korean with English abstract)
  7. Lee, K.H. (2013a) Three dimensional monitoring of the Asian dust by the COMS/GOCI and CALIPSO satellites observation data, J. Korean Soc. Atmos. Environ., 29(2), 199-210, DOI: http://dx.doi. org/10.5572/ KOSAE.2013.29.2.199. (in Korean with English abstract)
  8. Lee, K.H. (2013b) Creating atmospheric scattering corrected true color image from the COMS/GOCI Data, Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies, 16(1), 36-46, http://dx.doi.org/10.11108/kagis.2013.16.1.036. (in Korean with English abstract)
  9. Lee, K.-H. and E.-S. Jang (2014a) Sensitivity analysis of volcanic ash inherent optical properties to the remote sensed radiation, Korean J. of Remote Sensing, (in print). (in Korean with English abstract) https://doi.org/10.7780/kjrs.2014.30.1.5
  10. Lee, K.-H. and E.-S. Jang (2014b) Monitoring of the volcanic ash using satellite observation and trajectory analysis model, Korean J. of Remote Sensing, (in print). (in Korean with English abstract) https://doi.org/10.7780/kjrs.2014.30.1.2
  11. Lee, K.H., D.H. Lee, and Y.J. Kim (2006) Application of MODIS satellite observation data for air quality forecast, J. of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment, 22(6), 85-862. (in Korean with English abstract)
  12. Lee, K.H., M.S. Wong, S.-R. Chung, and E. Sohn (2014) Improved volcanic ash detection based on a hybrid reverse absorption technique, Atmospheric Research, 143, 31-41. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2014.01.019
  13. Millington, S.C., R.W. Saunders, P.N. Francis, and H.N. Webster (2012) Simulated volcanic ash imagery: A method to compare NAME ash concentration forecasts with SEVIRI imagery for the Eyjafjallajokull eruption in 2010, J. Geophys. Res., 117, D00U17, doi:10.1029/2011JD016770.
  14. Mishchenko, M.I., I.V. Geogdzhayev, W.B. Rossow, B. Cairns, B.E. Carlson, A.A. Lacis, L. Liu, and L.D. Travis (2007) Long-term satellite record reveals likely recent aerosol trend, Science, 315(1543), doi:10.1126/science.1136709.
  15. O'Dowd, C., D. Ceburnis, J. Ovadnevaite, G. Martucci, J. Bialek, C. Monahan, H. Berresheim, A. Vaishya, T. Grigas, S.G. Jennings, P. McVeigh, S. Varghese, R. Flanagan, D. Martin, E. Moran, K. Lambkin, T. Semmler, C. Perrino, and R. McGrath (2012) The Eyjafjallajökull ash plume-Part I: Physical, chemical and optical characteristics, Atmos. Environ., 48, 129-142. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2011.07.004
  16. Prata, A.J. (1989) Observations of volcanic ash clouds in the 10-12-micron window using AVHRR/2 Data, Int. J. Remote Sens., 10, 751-761. https://doi.org/10.1080/01431168908903916
  17. Rolph, G.D. (2003) Real-time Environmental Applications and Display System (READY) Website (http://www.arl.noaa.gov/ready/hysplit4.html). NOAA Air Resources Laboratory, Silver Spring, MD.
  18. Schumann, U., B. Weinzierl, O. Reitebuch, H. Schlager, A. Minikin, C. Forster, R. Baumann, T. Sailer, K. Graf, H. Mannstein, C. Voigt, S. Rahm, R. Simmet, M. Scheibe, M. Lichtenstern, P. Stock, H. Ruba, D. Schauble, A. Tafferner, M. Rautenhaus, T. Gerz, H. Ziereis, M. Krautstrunk, C. Mallaun, J.-F. Gayet, K. Lieke, K. Kandler, M. Ebert, S. Weinbruch, A. Stohl, J. Gasteiger, S. Gross, V. Freudenthaler, M. Wiegner, A. Ansmann, M. Tesche, H. Olafsson, and K. Sturm (2011) Airborne observations of the Eyjafjalla volcano ash cloud over Europe during air space closure in April and May 2010, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 11, 2245-2279, doi:10.5194/acp-11-2245-2011.