Journal of Environmental Science International (한국환경과학회지)

The Korean Environmental Sciences Society (한국환경과학회)
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Economic Impacts of Abnormal Climate on Total Output of Red Pepper

이상기후에 따른 건고추 생산농가의 총수입 변화 계측

  • Cho, Jae-Hwan (Department of Agricultural Economics, Pusan National University) ;
  • Suh, Jeong-Min (Department of Bio-Environmental Energy, Pusan National University) ;
  • Kang, Jum-Soon (Department of Horticultural Bioscience, Pusan National University) ;
  • Hong, Chang-Oh (Department of Life Science and Environmental Biochemistry, Pusan National University) ;
  • Lim, Woo-Taik (Department of Applied Chemistry, Andong National University) ;
  • Shin, Hyun-Moo (Department of Environmental Engineer, Kyungsung University) ;
  • Kim, Woon-Won (Department of Surgery, University of Inje College of Medicine, Haeundae Paik Hospital)
  • 조재환 (부산대학교 농업경제학과) ;
  • 서정민 (부산대학교 바이오환경에너지학과) ;
  • 강점순 (부산대학교 원예생명과학과) ;
  • 홍창오 (부산대학교 생명환경화학과) ;
  • 임우택 (안동대학교 응용화학과) ;
  • 신현무 (경성대학교 환경공학과) ;
  • 김운원 (인제대학교 해운대 백병원 외과학교실)
  • Received : 2013.11.05
  • Accepted : 2014.02.11
  • Published : 2014.04.30
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Abstract

The purpose of this article is analyzing the economic impacts of abnormal climate on total revenue of red pepper in Korea, with employing the equilibrium displacement model. Our simulation results show the rate of yield change, price change, and total revenue change according to the climate change scenarios. In th case of by RCP 8.5 Scenario, red pepper production volume would be expected to decrease by 77.2% compared to 2012 while price increasing by 29.6%. As a result, total revenue to be returned to farmers would be reduced by 47.6% than it was in 2012. In contrast, total revenue would be expected to decline by 29.6% according to RCP 4.5 scenario.

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References

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