대한산업공학회지 (Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers)

  • 제40권2호
  • /
  • Pages.163-171
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  • 2014
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  • 1225-0988(pISSN)
  • /
  • 2234-6457(eISSN)
대한산업공학회 (Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers)
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센서스 데이터를 기반으로 만든 전염병 전파 시뮬레이션 모델

Epidemic Disease Spreading Simulation Model Based on Census Data

  • 황교상 (KAIST 산업 및 시스템공학과) ;
  • 이태식 (KAIST 산업 및 시스템공학과) ;
  • 이현록 (KAIST 산업 및 시스템공학과)
  • Hwang, Kyosang (Department of Industrial and System Engineering, KAIST) ;
  • Lee, Taesik (Department of Industrial and System Engineering, KAIST) ;
  • Lee, Hyunrok (Department of Industrial and System Engineering, KAIST)
  • 투고 : 2013.11.26
  • 심사 : 2014.03.24
  • 발행 : 2014.04.15
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초록

Epidemic models are used to analyze the spreading of epidemic diseases, estimate public health needs, and assess the effectiveness of mitigation strategies. Modeling scope of an epidemic model ranges from the regional scale to national and global scale. Most of the epidemic models developed in Korea are at the national scale using the equation-based model. While these models are useful for designing and evaluating national public health policies, they do not provide sufficient details. As an alternative, individual-based models at the regional scale are often used to describe disease spreading, so that various mitigation strategies can be designed and tested. This paper presents an individual-based epidemic spreading model at regional scale. This model incorporates 2005 census data to build the synthetic population in the model representing Daejeon in 2005. The model's capability is demonstrated by an example where we assess the effectiveness of several mitigation strategies using the model.

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참고문헌

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