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전기차 보급전망에 따른 고속도로 온실가스 저감효과 분석

Expressway Greenhouse Gas Reduction Effect Analysis According to the Electric Vehicle Supply

  • 이진각 ((주)로드코리아 교통사업본부) ;
  • 한동희 (한국도로공사 도로교통연구원) ;
  • 오창권 ((주)로드코리아 교통사업본부) ;
  • 정철기 ((주)로드코리아 교통사업본부) ;
  • 오관교 (서울대학교 환경대학원)
  • Lee, Jin Kak (Department of Transportation, RoadKorea Inc.) ;
  • Han, Dong Hee (Transportation Research Division, Korea Expressway Corporation) ;
  • Oh, Chang Kwon (Department of Transportation, RoadKorea Inc.) ;
  • Jung, Chul Ki (Department of Transportation, RoadKorea Inc.) ;
  • Oh, Kwan Kyo (Graduate School of Environmental Studies, Seoul National University)
  • 투고 : 2012.11.30
  • 심사 : 2013.07.23
  • 발행 : 2013.10.31

초록

본 연구에서는 현재 대두되고 있는 온실가스 저감에 초점을 맞추어 고속도로상에 배출되고 있는 $CO_2$에 대해 정부정책 목표를 기준에 따른 전기차 보급전망과 2010년 기준 배출 현황을 토대로 장래 분석(2020년)을 하였다. 연구에서 수행한 주요 내용은 다음과 같다. 첫째, 고속도로에서 배출하는 온실가스의 경우 2010년 기준으로 약 17.3백만톤의 $CO_2$ 배출량이 발생하는 것으로 나타났으며, 이후 2015년 17.4백만톤, 2020년 16.2백만톤으로 분석되었다. 이러한 패턴의 결과는 KTDB 상의 O/D의 영향과 교통량 변화가 2015년 이후 2020년까지 증가하다가 2020년부터 감소하는 추세가 반영된 결과이다. 둘째, 전기차 보급전망에 따라 배출된 온실가스의 경우에는 2015년은 17.1백만톤으로 미시행(전기차 반영없음) 대비 약 2.0%의 저감효과가 발생되는 것으로 분석되었으며, 2020년에는 14.2백만톤으로 미시행 대비 약 12.8% 저감효과가 분석된 것을 알 수 있었다.

This Study analyzed the electric car effect on the Korea Expressway System in terms of year 2020 $CO_2$ emission. The analysis was based on the green car dissemination goal by the government and year 2010 emission statistics. Major contents performed in the study area were as follows. First, the greenhouse gases emitted from the highways were found to be approximately 17.3 million tons of $CO_2$ as of 2010. Analysis showed the emission would be 17.4 million tons in 2015 and 16.2 million tons in 2020. The results in the pattern reflect the effect of O/D on the KTBD and the trend of traffic increase from 2015 to 2020 followed by decrease in 2020. Second, in the case of greenhouse gas emission with the anticipated supply of electric cars, the amount of emission in 2015 will be 17.1 million tons, which is about 2.0% reduction compared to the lack of introduction of electric cars. The analysis also showed that in 2020, the amount of emission will be 14.2 million tons, which indicates the effect of reduction is 12.8% compared to non implementation of the program.

키워드

참고문헌

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