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기상요소가 식량작물 생산량에 미치는 영향: 패널자료를 활용한 회귀분석

Effects of Meteorological Elements in the Production of Food Crops: Focused on Regression Analysis using Panel Data

  • 이중우 (인제대학교 경영학부, 산업경영연구원) ;
  • 장영재 (인제대학교 경영학부, 산업경영연구원) ;
  • 고광근 (인제대학교 경영학부, 산업경영연구원) ;
  • 박종길 (인제대학교 환경공학과, 대기환경정보연구센터)
  • Lee, Joong-Woo (Department of Management, IIMR, Inje University) ;
  • Jang, Young Jae (Department of Management, IIMR, Inje University) ;
  • Ko, Kwang-Kun (Department of Management, IIMR, Inje University) ;
  • Park, Jong-Kil (Department of Environmental Engineering, Atmospheric Environment Information Research Center, Inje University)
  • 투고 : 2013.03.11
  • 심사 : 2013.05.09
  • 발행 : 2013.09.30

초록

Recent climate change has led to fluctuations in agricultural production, and as a result national food supply has become an important strategic factor in economic policy. As such, in this study, panel data was collected to analyze the effects of seven meteorological elements and using the Lagrange multipliers method, the fixed-effects model for the production of five types of food crop and the seven meteorological elements were analyzed. Results showed that the key factors effecting increases in production of rice grains were average temperature, average relative humidity and average ground surface temperature, while wheat and barley were found to have positive correlations with average temperature and average humidity. The implications of this study are as follow. First, it was confirmed that the meteorological elements have profound effects on the production of food crops. Second, when compared to existing studies, the study was not limited to one food crop but encompassed all five types, and went beyond other studies that were limited to temperature and rainfall to include various meterological elements.

키워드

참고문헌

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피인용 문헌

  1. Prediction of Regional Drought considering Aspect and Elevation in Jeju Island under Future Climate Change vol.23, pp.4, 2014, https://doi.org/10.5322/JESI.2014.4.649
  2. Study on Effects of Meteorological Elements in the Grain Production of Korea vol.24, pp.3, 2015, https://doi.org/10.5322/JESI.2015.24.3.281