KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research (대한토목학회논문집)

Korean Society of Civil Engeneers (대한토목학회)
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Calculation of the Peak-hour Ratio at Urban Railway Stations Reflecting Passenger Demand Pattern and Land Use Inventory - A Case of Seoul -

승객 수요 패턴과 역세권의 토지이용 특성을 반영한 도시철도역 첨두시간 집중률 산정 - 서울시를 대상으로 -

  • 장성훈 (서울대학교 공과대학 건설환경공학부) ;
  • 김효승 (서울대학교 건설환경종합연구소) ;
  • 이청원 (서울대학교 건설환경공학부) ;
  • 김동규 (서울대학교 건설환경종합연구소)
  • Received : 2012.12.13
  • Accepted : 2013.04.11
  • Published : 2013.07.30
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Abstract

The aim of this study is to suggest a methodology for calculating the peak-hour ratio of passengers at urban railway stations by reflecting the characteristics of passenger demand patterns and the land use inventory of stations. To achieve this, urban railway stations in Seoul are divided into three groups by using factor analysis and cluster analysis. For each station group, we calculate five and four variables related to the passenger demand patterns and the land use inventory of stations, respectively, as well as the peak-hour ratios of passengers. Among these nine variables, average daily passengers and the location quotient (LQ) index for business services are selected as the classification criteria for station groups based on statistical tests. Using the two variables, a group allocation process is suggested to estimate the peak-hour ratio of passengers for a newly-constructed station. Evaluation results based on thirteen stations show that the proposed methodology produces lower errors than the currently-used guideline does. The results of this study contribute to establishing efficiently construction and operation plans for newly-constructed stations.

본 연구는 역사의 승객수요 패턴과 토지이용 특성을 반영하여 도시철도역 승객의 첨두시간 집중률을 산정하는 방법론을 제시하는 것을 목적으로 한다. 이를 위하여 요인분석과 군집분석을 기반으로 서울시 도시철도 역사를 3개의 그룹으로 분류한다. 각 그룹별로 이용수요의 첨두시간 집중률과 함께 도시철도 승객수요 패턴과 역사의 토지이용과 관련한 5가지 변수와 4가지 변수를 각각 산출한다. 통계 검정을 기반으로, 이 변수들 중 일평균 승객수와 업무 LQ지수가 역사의 그룹을 구분하는 기준으로 선정된다. 두 변수들을 활용하여 새로 건설되는 도시철도역의 첨두시간 집중률을 추정하기 위한 그룹할당과정을 제시한다. 13개의 도시철도역 자료를 이용한 검증을 통해 본 연구의 방법론은 현재 이용되는 지침에 비하여 더 적은 오차를 산출할 수 있다는 것을 확인하였다. 본 연구의 방법론은 신규 철도역사의 효율적인 건설 및 운영계획 수립에 기여할 수 있을 것으로 사료된다.

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