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Korean Meteorological Society (한국기상학회)
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A Suggestion for Definition of El Niño/La Niña

엘니뇨/라니냐 정의에 대한 제언

  • Son, Hye-Young (Department of Marine Sciences and Convergent Technology, Hanyang University, ERICA) ;
  • Kug, Jong-Seong (Department of Marine Sciences and Convergent Technology, Hanyang University, ERICA) ;
  • Yeh, Sang-Wook (Department of Environmental Marine Science, Hanyang University) ;
  • Kim, Hyun-Kyung (Korea Meteorological Administration) ;
  • Park, E-Hyung (Korea Meteorological Administration)
  • Received : 2012.11.19
  • Accepted : 2012.12.17
  • Published : 2013.03.31
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Abstract

KMA is operationally monitoring El Ni$\tilde{n}$o and La Ni$\tilde{n}$a events, which have tremendous impacts on global climate. Many scientific studies have used to define onset of El Ni$\tilde{n}$o and La Ni$\tilde{n}$a events based on the moving average and persistency of SST indices, and KMA has adopted such definition. Though the definition has been widely accepted, in the operational aspect there is a critical problem to use moving average and condition for the persistence. Because the future values for the SST indices cannot be used in the operational monitoring, the onset timing in El Ni$\tilde{n}$o and La Ni$\tilde{n}$a can be significantly delayed. We suggest here an appropriate definition of El Ni$\tilde{n}$o and La Ni$\tilde{n}$a events in the operational aspect. Instead of using the moving average and the condition for the persistence, the onset is defined based on NINO3.4 SST during last 3 months. In order to compare the new definition with the current KMA definition, we applied them to recent 60-years SST data. It is clear that the new definition can declare the onset timing of El Ni$\tilde{n}$o and La Ni$\tilde{n}$a several months earlier than that of the KMA definition. It suggest that the new definition is more appropriate to the operational monitoring on El Ni$\tilde{n}$o and La Ni$\tilde{n}$a.

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References

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