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Detection of Emerging Technology by Using Highly Cited Papers

고피인용 논문을 활용한 유망기술 발굴

  • 이준영 (한국과학기술정보연구원 정보분석연구소 미래기술분석실) ;
  • 김도현 (한국과학기술정보연구원 정보분석연구소 미래기술분석실) ;
  • 안세정 (한국과학기술정보연구원 정보분석연구소 미래기술분석실) ;
  • 노경란 (한국과학기술정보연구원 정보분석연구소 미래기술분석실) ;
  • 권오진 (한국과학기술정보연구원 정보분석연구소 미래기술분석실)
  • Received : 2013.10.21
  • Accepted : 2013.11.15
  • Published : 2013.11.30

Abstract

Recently, it becomes essential to forecast the future and identify emerging technologies in order to improve R&D efficiency and gain a competitive advantage under rapidly changing environment of science and technology. Therefore this research aims to identify the future and emerging technologies especially for the industry and applied it to list top ten emerging technologies. In this study, we identify research fronts across all areas of science and technology through verifying and comparing the 2008 and the 2012 surge in research activities. Finally we detect rapidly increasing 10 promising technology areas. This research results are expected to provide valuable information to support stragegic and policy decision making.

급변하는 과학기술 환경속에서 효율적인 R&D와 경쟁력 확보를 위해 미래 기술을 예측하고 유망기술을 발굴하고자 하는 활동이 전 세계적으로 활발히 이뤄지고 있다. 이에 본 연구는 고피인용 논문을 분석 방법을 이용해 2008년, 2012년도 각각 과학기술 전분야를 넘나드는 최전선의 연구활동을 확인하고, 2008년과 2012년을 비교해 연구활동의 규모가 급증한 영역을 추출하여 10대 유망기술을 도출하였다. 본 연구결과는 연구개발 및 기업의 전략적, 정책적 의사결정을 지원할 것으로 기대된다.

Keywords

References

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