Journal of agriculture & life science (농업생명과학연구)

Institute of Agriculture & Life Science, Gyeongsang National University (경상대학교 농업생명과학연구원)
권호 표지

Development of Assessment Model for the Optimal Site Prediction of Evergreen Broad-leaved Trees in Warm Temperate Zone according to Climate Change

기후변화에 따른 난대상록활엽수의 적지예측 평가 모델 개발

  • Kang, Jin-Teak (Center for Forest and Climate Change, Korea Forest Research Institute) ;
  • Kim, Jeong-Woon (Southern For. Res. Center, Korea For. Res. Insti.) ;
  • Kim, Cheol-Min (Center for Forest and Climate Change, Korea Forest Research Institute)
  • 강진택 (국립산림과학원 기후변화연구센터) ;
  • 김정운 (국립산림과학원 남부산림연구소) ;
  • 김철민 (국립산림과학원 기후변화연구센터)
  • Received : 2012.04.03
  • Accepted : 2012.06.26
  • Published : 2012.06.30
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Abstract

This study was carried out to develop assessment model for the optimal site prediction of Dendropanax morbifera, Evergreen broad-leaved trees in warm temperate zone according to climate change. It was created criterion for assessment model of the optimal site prediction by quantification method to possible analysis of quantitative and qualitative data, through study relationship between growth of tree and site environmental factors. A program of the optimal site prediction was developed using program version 3.2, an Avenue and Dialog Designer tool of ESRI as GIS(geographic information system) engine. Developed program applied to test accuracy of the optimal site prediction in study area of Wando, Jeollanam-do, having a various evergreen broad-leaved trees of warm temperate zone. In the results from analysis of the optimal site prediction on Dendropanax morbifera, the characteristics of optimal site were analyzed site environmental features with 401~500m of altitude, $15^{\circ}$ of slope, hillside of local topography, alluvium of deposit type, convex of slope type and south of aspect. The mapping area per grade of the optimal site prediction in the Dendropanax morbifera showed 1,487.2ha(25.4%) of class I, 1,020.3ha(17.4%) of class II, 2,231.8ha(38.2%) of class III and 1,110.5ha(19.0%) of class IV.

본 연구는 기후변화에 따른 난대상록수종인 황칠나무의 적지예측모델을 개발하기 위하여 수행하였다. 생장 및 입지환경 인자들간의 관계 구명을 통하여 양적 질적 자료 분석이 가능한 수량화 분석 방법에 의하여 황칠나무의 적지예측 평가기준을 도출하였다. 적지예측 프로그램은 ESRI, ArcView GIS 프로그램을 이용하여 개발하였다. 개발된 프로그램은 적지예측의 정확성 검토를 위하여 다양한 난대 상록활엽수가 분포하고 있는 전남 완도 지역에 적용하였다. 황칠나무의 적지예측 분석 결과, 최적지 표고 401~500m, 경사도 $15^{\circ}$ 이하, 국소지형은 산복 계곡부위, 퇴적양식 붕행토, 방위가 남쪽인 요철사면으로 나타났다. 완도지역의 황칠나무 최적지 등급별 맵핑 면적은 I 등급 1,487.2ha(25.4%), II 등급 1,020.3ha (17.4%), III 등급 2,231.8ha(38.2%), IV 등급 1,110.5ha(19.0%)로 나타났다.

Keywords

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