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A Model for Estimating Social Cost of Mobile Emission Considering Geographical and Social Characteristics

지역 특성을 고려한 차량 배출물질의 사회적 비용 추정 모형

  • Lee, Kyu Jin (Tod-based Sustainable City.Transportation Research Center, Ajou University) ;
  • Choi, Keechoo (Department of Transportation System Engineering, Ajou University)
  • 이규진 (아주대학교 TOD기반 지속가능 도시교통연구센터) ;
  • 최기주 (아주대학교 교통시스템공학과)
  • Received : 2012.05.30
  • Accepted : 2012.08.29
  • Published : 2012.10.31

Abstract

This study proposed a model for estimating the unit value of social cost for mobile emission considering local geographical and social characteristics, together with a method to evaluate the air quality value. The model was built based on benefit transfer methods, the population density, and green space ratio of each area, which are reflected through independent variables. While applying the model, the unit value of social cost for mobile emissions in both densely populated areas of Seoul and Busan was found to be 18.68 times and 10.71 times higher than the national average, respectively. It is highly expected that this study can contribute to providing more reliable guidelines to decision makers when evaluating various green transportation policies and projects.

본 연구에서는 분석대상 지역의 특성을 고려한 차량 배출물질의 사회적 비용 원단위 추정 모형을 구축하였고, 이를 바탕으로 분석 대상지역의 대기질 가치를 평가하기 위한 방법론을 제시하였다. 구축 모형은 편익이전(Benefit Transfer)기법을 활용한 것으로, 각 지역의 인구밀도와 녹지율이 설명변수로 반영되었다. 본 모형을 적용한 결과, 인구가 밀집되어 있는 서울 지역과 부산 지역에 대한 차량 배출물질의 사회적 비용 원단위는 전국 평균치보다 각각 18.68배, 10.71배 높은 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구는 최근의 녹색교통 정책에 대한 타당성을 판단함에 있어서 보다 신뢰도 있는 결과 도출에 기여할 것으로 기대된다.

Keywords

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