대한교통학회지 (Journal of Korean Society of Transportation)

  • 제30권4호
  • /
  • Pages.61-70
  • /
  • 2012
  • /
  • 1229-1366(pISSN)
  • /
  • 2234-4217(eISSN)
대한교통학회 (Korean Society of Transportation)
권호 표지
DOI QR코드

DOI QR Code

고령자의 비업무통행에 영향을 미치는 요인 분석: 수도권 사례를 중심으로

A Study on the Factors Concerning Non-Work Trip of the Elderly People : A case of Seoul Metropolitan Area

  • 한진석 (한국교통연구원 국가교통DB센터) ;
  • 오성호 (국토연구원 국토인프라연구본부) ;
  • 박종일 (국토연구원 국토인프라연구본부) ;
  • 김준기 (국토연구원 국토인프라연구본부)
  • Hahn, Jin-Seok (Department of National Transport Survey and Analysis, The Korea Transport Institute) ;
  • Oh, Sung-Ho (National Infrastructure Research Division, Korea Research Institute for Human Settlements) ;
  • Park, Jong-Il (National Infrastructure Research Division, Korea Research Institute for Human Settlements) ;
  • Kim, Joon-ki (National Infrastructure Research Division, Korea Research Institute for Human Settlements)
  • 투고 : 2012.03.05
  • 심사 : 2012.06.14
  • 발행 : 2012.08.31
PDF 다운로드
⟨ 이전 논문 다음 논문 ⟩

초록

본 연구에서는 2006년 수도권 가구통행실태조사 자료를 활용하여 비업무통행빈도에 대한 고령자의 통행특성을 분석하였다. 분석결과 비업무통행빈도에 대한 고령자의 통행특성은 타 연령층과 상이한 것으로 나타났으며, 분석모형은 특정 변수에 이분산성을 가정한 이분산 서열로짓모형의 설명력이 우수한 것으로 나타났다. 모형추정 결과 고령자는 연령층이 낮을수록, 여성일수록, 운전면허를 가지고 있을수록, 직업 및 가구내 미취학 아동이 없을수록, 그리고 가구내 특정수준 이상의 월평균소득이 있을 경우 비업무통행빈도가 증가하는 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구의 분석결과에 대한 정책적 시사점으로 모든 고령자에 대하여 획일적인 교통정책을 수립하는 것 보다 고령자의 개인적 특성차이(연령대별 건강상태 등)를 고려한 교통정책이 수립되어야 할 것으로 판단된다.

This research explores different non-work trip characteristics between the elderly group (65+) and the working age group (20-64) using heteroscadastic ordered logit model. The analysis is based on travel survey data of Seoul Metropolitan area in 2006. The results show that age induces heteroscadasticity and the model provides a better fit than ordered logit model. The factors increasing the number of non-work trip of the elderly were driver's license and household income. Conversely, the number of non-work trips decreased in those groups that were male, with a job, in aging, and with the number of preschool children. The factors having opposite effects (increased the number of non-work trips in the working age groups and decreased in the elderly group) between the elderly group and working age group were age and job.

키워드

참고문헌

  1. Alvarez R. Michael and John Brehm(1995), "Speaking in Two Voices: American Equivocation About the Internal Revenue Service", American Journal of Political Science, Vol.42, No.2, pp.418-452.
  2. Ahn Y. H.(2002), "A Study on the Elderly's Travel Behavior and Estimation of Mode Choice Model", Yeungnam University.
  3. Alsnih R. and Hensher D. A.(2003), "The Mobility and Accessibility Expectations of Seniors in an Aging Population", Transportation Research Part A, Vol.37, No.10, pp.903- 916. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0965-8564(03)00073-9
  4. Buehler R. and Nobis C.(2010), "Travel Behavior in Aging Societies: Comparison of Germany and the United States", Transportation Research Record, No.2182, TRB, National Research Council, pp.62-70
  5. Cho N. G.(2001), "A Study on the Travel Characteristics in the Aging Society", Korea Research Institute For Human Settlements.
  6. Cho N. G. and Yun D. S.(2002), "Mode Choice Factors of the Elderly", The Korea Spatial Planning Review, Vol.33, pp.129- 144.
  7. Cho C. S., Park J. Y. and Choi B. N.(2010), "A Study of the Factors Associated with Travel Patterns of the Elderly", The Korea Transport Institute.
  8. Green W. H.(2003), Econometric Analysis, 5nd ed., Prentice Hall.
  9. Hausman J. and P. Ruud(1986), "Specifying and Testing Econometric Models for Rank Ordered Data with an Application to the Demand for Mobile and Portable Telephones", Working Paper No.8605, University of California, Berkeley, Department of Economics.
  10. Hilderband E. D.(2003), "Dimensions in elderly travel behavior: A simplified activity-based model using lifestyle clusters", Transportation, Vol.30, pp.285-306. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1023949330747
  11. Hensher D. A.(2007), "Some Insights into the Key Influences on Trip-Chaining Activity and Public Transport Use of Seniors and the Elderly", International Journal of Sustainable Transportation, Vol.1, No.1, pp.53-68. https://doi.org/10.1080/15568310601097004
  12. Kim S.(2003), "Analysis of Elderly Mobility by Structural Equation Modeling", Transportation Research Record No.1854, TRB, National Research Council, pp.81-89.
  13. Kim S. and Ulfarsson G. F.(2004), "Travel Mode Choice of the Elderly", Transportation Research Record, No.1894, TRB, National Research Council, pp.117-126.
  14. Lee S. H., Kim S. J. and Cho H. J.(2005), "Study on Seoul Transport Policies on Aged Society", Seoul Development Institute.
  15. Randi J. Hjorthol, R. J., Levin L. and Siren, A.(2010), "Mobility in different generation of older persons: The development of daily travel in different cohorts in Denmark, Norway and Sweden", Journal of Transport Geography, Vol.18, pp.624-633. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2010.03.011
  16. Schmocker J. D., Quddus M. A., Noland R. B. and Bell M. G. H.(2005), "Estimating Trip Generation of Elderly and Disabled People", Transportation Research Record, No.1924, TRB, National Research Council, pp.9-18.
  17. Seo S. E., Jung J. H. and Kim S. G.(2006), "Analysis of the Elderly Travel Characteristics and Travel Behavior with Daily Activity Schedules (the Case of Seoul, Korea)", Journal of Korean Society of Transportation, Vol.24, No.5, Korean Society of Transportation, pp.89-108.
  18. Statistics Korea, http://www.kostat.go.kr
  19. Tacken M.(1998), "Mobility of the Elderly in Time and Space in the Netherlands: An Analysis of the Dutch National Travel Survey", Transportation Vol.25, pp.379-398. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1005042614848
  20. Yun D. S. and Ahn Y. H.(2003), "Analysis of the Elderly's Travel Characteristics and Travel Behavior", Journal of the Korea Planners Association, Vol.38, No.7, pp.91-107.
  21. Zavoina and Maelvey(1975), "A Statistical Model for the Analysis of Ordinal Level Dependent Variables" Journal of Mathematical Society, pp.103-120.

피인용 문헌

  1. Analyzing the Characteristics of Trip Chaining Activities of the Elderly in Seoul Metropolitan Area vol.13, pp.2, 2014, https://doi.org/10.12815/kits.2014.13.2.068