International Journal of Ocean System Engineering

Korean Society of Ocean Engineers (한국해양공학회)
권호 표지
DOI QR코드

DOI QR Code

Methodology for Risk Assessment for Exposure to Hurricane Conditions

  • Edge, Billy L. (Dept. of Civil, Construction, & Environmental Engineering, North Carolina State University) ;
  • Jung, Kwang-Hyo (Dept. of Naval Architecture & Ocean Engineering, Dong-Eui University)
  • Received : 2011.12.14
  • Accepted : 2012.02.08
  • Published : 2012.02.29
Download PDF
⟨ Previous Next ⟩

Abstract

An analysis of potential flooding by storm surge and wave run-up and overtopping can be used to evaluate protection afforded by the existing storm protection system. The analysis procedure can also be used to evaluate various protection alternatives for providing typhoon flood protection. To determine risk, the storm surges for both historical and hypothetical are compiled with tide conditions to represent high, slack and low water for neap, spring and mid range tides to use with the statistical procedure known as the Empirical Simulations Technique (EST). The EST uses the historic and hypothetical events to generate a large population of life-cycle databases that are used to compute mean value maximum storm surge elevation frequency relationships. The frequency-of-occurrence relationship is determined for all relevant locations along the shoreline at appropriate locations to identify the effect using the Empirical Storm Simulation (EST). To assist with understanding the process, an example is presented for a study of storm surge analysis for Freeport, Texas. This location is in the Gulf of Mexico and is subject to hurricanes and other tropical storms that approach from the Atlantic Ocean.

Keywords

References

  1. Borgman, L.E., Miller, M.C., Butler, H.L., and Reinhard, R.D., Empirical simulation of future typhoon storm histories as a tool in engineering and Economic Analysis. ASCE Proc. Civil En-gineering in the Oceans V. College Station, TX. 2-5 Nov. 1992.
  2. Borgman, L.E. and Scheffner, N.W., 1991, "The simulation of time sequences of wave height, period, and direction." TR-DRP-91-2. USACE, WES, Vicksburg, MS.
  3. Cardone, V.J., Greenwood, C.V., and Green-wood, J.A., 1992, "Unified Program for the Specification of Typhoon Boundary Layer Winds Over Surfaces of specified Roughness," contract report CERC-92-1, USACE, Waterways Experiment Station, Vicksburg, MS.
  4. Flather, R.A. 1988, "A Numerical model investigation of tides and diurnal-period continental shelf waves along Vancouver Island." Journal of Physical Oceanography 18, 115-139. https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0485(1988)018<0115:ANMIOT>2.0.CO;2
  5. Gumbel, E.J., 1954,"Statistical theory of extreme value and some practical application." National Bureau of Standards Applied Math. Series 33. U.S. Gov. Pub. Washington, DC.
  6. Jarvinen, B.R., Neumann, C.J., and Davis, M.A.S., 1988, "A tropical Cyclone Data Tape for the North Atlantic Basin, 1886-1983: Con-tents, Limitation and Uses," NOAA Technical Memorandum NWS NHC 22.
  7. Jelesnianski, C.P. and Taylor, A.D., 1973, "A Preliminary View of Storm Surges Before and After Storm Modifications." NOAA Technical Memorandum ERL WMPO-3, Weather Modification Program Office, Bounder CO
  8. Kolar, R.L., Gray, W.G., Westerink, J.J., and Leutich, R.A. 1994, "Shallow water modeling in spherical coordinates:Equation formulation, numerical implementation, and application," Journal of Hydraulic Research 32(1), 3-24.
  9. Leutich, R.A., Westerink, J.J., and Scheffner, N.W., 1992, "ADCIRC: An Advanced Three-Dimensional Circulation Model for Shelves, Coasts, and Estuaries Report 1:Theory and Methodology of ADCIRC-2DDI and ADCIRC-3DL," Technical report DRP-92-6, Nov. 1992, U.S. Army Engineer Waterways Experiment Station, Vicksburg, MS.
  10. Scheffner, N.W., Mark D.J., Blain, C.A., Wes-terink, J.J., and Leutich, R.A., 1994, "ADCIRC: An Advanced Three-Dimensional Circulation Model for Shelves, Coasts, and Estuaries Report 5:A Tropical Storm Data Base for the East and Gulf of Mexico coasts of the United States," Technical Report DRP-92-6, August 1994, U.S. Army Engineer Waterways Experiment Station, Vicksburg, MS.
  11. Scheffner, Norman W., Clausner, James E., Militello, Adele, Borgman, Leon E., Edge, Bil-ly L., and Grace, Peter E, 1999, "Use and ap-plication of the Empirical Simulation Tech-nique: Users Guide," Technical Report CHL-99-21, December 1999, U.S. Army Engineer Waterways Experiment Station, Vicksburg, MS.
  12. Scheffner, N.W., Carson, F.C., Rhee, J.P., Mark, D.J., 2003, "Coastal Erosion study For the Open Coast from Sabine Pass to San Luis Pass, Texas: Tropical Storm Surge Frequency Analysis," USACE, Waterways Experiment Station, Vicksburg, MS.
  13. Westerink, J.J., Leutich, R.A., and Scheffner, N.W., 1993, "ADCIRC: An Advanced Three-Dimensional Circulation Model for Shelves, Coasts, and Estuaries Report 3: Development of a Tidal Constituent Database for the Western North Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico," Technical Report DRP-92-6, June 1993, USACE, Waterways Experiment