Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment (한국대기환경학회지)

Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment (한국대기환경학회)
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Vulnerability Assessment of Human Health Sector due to Climate Change: Focus on Ozone

기후변화에 따른 보건 분야의 취약성 평가: O3을 중심으로

  • Lee, Jae-Bum (Climate Change Research Division, Climate and Air Quality Research Department, National Institute of Environmental Research) ;
  • Lee, Hyun-Ju (Climate Change Research Division, Climate and Air Quality Research Department, National Institute of Environmental Research) ;
  • Moon, Kyung-Jung (Measure Analysis Division, Yeongsan River Basin Environment Office) ;
  • Hong, Sung-Chul (Climate Change Research Division, Climate and Air Quality Research Department, National Institute of Environmental Research) ;
  • Kim, Deok-Rae (Climate Change Research Division, Climate and Air Quality Research Department, National Institute of Environmental Research) ;
  • Song, Chang-Keun (Climate Change Research Division, Climate and Air Quality Research Department, National Institute of Environmental Research) ;
  • Hong, You-Deog (Climate Change Research Division, Climate and Air Quality Research Department, National Institute of Environmental Research)
  • 이재범 (국립환경과학원 기후변화연구과) ;
  • 이현주 (국립환경과학원 기후변화연구과) ;
  • 문경정 (영산강유역환경청 측정분석과) ;
  • 홍성철 (국립환경과학원 기후변화연구과) ;
  • 김덕래 (국립환경과학원 기후변화연구과) ;
  • 송창근 (국립환경과학원 기후변화연구과) ;
  • 홍유덕 (국립환경과학원 기후변화연구과)
  • Received : 2011.08.10
  • Accepted : 2011.12.27
  • Published : 2012.02.29
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Abstract

Adaptation of climate change is necessary to avoid unexpected impacts of climate change caused by human activities. Vulnerability refers to the degree to which system cannot cope with impacts of climate change, encompassing physical, social and economic aspects. Therefore the quantification of climate change impacts and its vulnerability is needed to identify vulnerable regions and to setup the proper strategies for adaptation. In this study, climate change vulnerability is defined as a function of climate exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity. Also, we identified regions vulnerable to ozone due to climate change in Korea using developed proxy variables of vulnerability of regional level. 18 proxy variables are selected through delphi survey to assess vulnerability over human health sector for ozone concentration change due to climate change. Also, we estimate the weighting score of proxy variables from delphi survey. The results showed that the local regions with higher vulnerability index in the sector of human health are Seoul and Daegu, whereas regions with lower one are Jeollanam-do, Gyeonggi-do, Gwangju, Busan, Daejeon, and Gangwon-do. The regions of high level vulnerability are mainly caused by their high ozone exposure. We also assessed future vulnerability according to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) A2, A1FI, A1T, A1B, B2, and B1 scenarios in 2020s, 2050s and 2100s. The results showed that vulnerability increased in all scenarios due to increased ozone concentrations. Especially vulnerability index is increased by approximately 2 times in A1FI scenarios in the 2020s. This study could support regionally adjusted adaptation polices and the quantitative background of policy priority as providing the information on the regional vulnerability of ozone due to climate change in Korea.

Keywords

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