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The Impacts of Changes of Temperature and Precipitation Amount on Red Pepper Yields

기온 및 강수량 변동이 노지 건고추 단수에 미치는 영향

  • Cho, Jae-Hwan (Department of Agricultural Economics, Pusan National University) ;
  • Suh, Jeong-Min (Department of Bio-Environmental Energy, Pusan National University) ;
  • Kang, Jum-Soon (Department of Horticultural Bioscience, Pusan National University) ;
  • Hong, Chang-Oh (Department of Life Science and Environmental Biochemistry, Pusan National University) ;
  • Kim, Jin-Ho (R&D Coordination Division, Rural Development Administration) ;
  • Lee, Sang-Gyu (Department of Vegetable Research, Rural Development Administration)
  • 조재환 (부산대학교 농업경제학과) ;
  • 서정민 (부산대학교 바이오환경에너지학과) ;
  • 강점순 (부산대학교 원예생명과학과) ;
  • 홍창오 (부산대학교 생명환경화학과) ;
  • 김진호 (농촌진흥청 연구운영과) ;
  • 이상규 (농촌진흥청 원예작물부 채소과)
  • Received : 2012.09.17
  • Accepted : 2012.12.03
  • Published : 2012.12.31

Abstract

The purpose of this article is analyzing the impacts of climate change on red pepper yield in Korea, with employing a panel data regression model. Our results show that there is a negative impacts of high temperature and precipitation amount on red pepper yields. Especially high temperature and rainfall in July cause serious damage to red pepper yield. According to the reduction schedule on greenhouse gas emission(RCP 8.5 scenario.), red pepper yield would be 25.4% lower than it is, for reasons of high temperature and rainfall damages by the end of 21st century.

Keywords

References

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